// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Jesse Roberts
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Jesse
Roberts

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-2-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
6'2"
AGE
61
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
83%
10/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#72
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1528
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
4th
percentile · average opponent rated 1491 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
75th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.23 per fight)

4 rated fights · opponents rated in 33% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 28, 2026 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
DEC · 5
2
KO/TKO
20%
3
SUB
30%
5
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
50%
1
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
20%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
30%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER29TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKINGN/ACARDIO76AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power29
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio76
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power29 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JAN 2019WJAN 2019WMAY 2021WAUG 2021WJUL 2022WNOV 2022WMAY 2023LOCT 2023WMAR 2024WOCT 2024WMAR 2025LSEP 2025WMAR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  4. Start, AUG 2021, momentum score 69, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 89, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  8. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 89, SUB R3.
  9. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  11. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, SEP 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  13. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Speciale), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
17%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
2
17%
-
2
17%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
5
42%
-
1
8%
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
50%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Shaheen SantanaMar 28, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AKA 54 - American Kombat Alliance
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Angel AlvarezSep 26, 2025
DecisionR5 · 5:00
CFFC 146 - Cage Fury Fighting Championships 146: Roberts vs. Alvarez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Omar RzgoevMar 14, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 3:47
CFFC 140 - Cage Fury Fighting Championships 140: Amosov vs. Millender
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Matt SpecialeOct 4, 2024
SubmissionR3 · 2:16
Unified MMA 59 - Unified MMA
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jonathan JacksonMar 29, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
All In Combat - AIC 5: Mixan vs. Vines
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Sergio CossioOct 7, 2023
SubmissionR3 · 4:05
Bellator 300 - Nurmagomedov vs. Primus
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Ronald Girones SagoMay 3, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
XMMA 6 - Bash at the Beach
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Carlton LoftonNov 4, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:34
AKA 24 - American Kombat Alliance
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Cody MitchellJul 22, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 0:00
AKA 22 - American Kombat Alliance
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO
W
VS Dominic WiltzAug 27, 2021
SubmissionR1 · 0:00
AKA - Rite of Passage 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Christopher MillerMay 28, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AKA - Rite of Passage 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS A.J. AgazarmJan 26, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 214 - Fedor vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 10-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28