// Roster Index›Women's Strawweight›Dossier · Jessica Aguilar
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WOMEN'S STRAWWEIGHT

Jessica
Aguilar

NICKNAME"Jag"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
20-10-0
CURRENT FORM
4L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jessica Aguilar
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'3"
REACH
5'3"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Women's Strawweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
30 BOUTS
WIN
20
LOSS
10
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
20/30 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4L STREAK · 1-4
WLLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.93
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 3.67
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 44%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
7.19
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 4.18
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 54%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.94
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.00
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
25%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 36%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 62%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.30
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 59 rated fighters on the UFC women's strawweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#37
against the 59 rated on the UFC women's strawweight roster · Elo 1517
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
76th
percentile · average opponent rated 1546 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
7th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.35 per fight)

22 rated fights · opponents rated in 73% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUL 31, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (20)
n = 20
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 8
DEC · 10
2
KO/TKO
10%
8
SUB
40%
10
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (10)
n = 10
SUB · 2
DEC · 8
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
20%
8
DEC
80%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
10%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
40%
DECFULL FIGHT · 10 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
30 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING67CARDIO81AGGRESSION49SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY56
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=20 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=30 bouts
Striking67
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio81
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression49
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery56
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=10 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins20 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record30 bouts
Striking67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.10 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2006LFEB 2006WJUL 2006WSEP 2006WFEB 2007WAPR 2007LAUG 2007WMAR 2008LJAN 2009WNOV 2009WMAR 2010WJUN 2010WAUG 2010LSEP 2010WNOV 2010WJUN 2011WNOV 2011WFEB 2012WMAY 2012WMAR 2013WOCT 2013WJAN 2014WJUN 2014WNOV 2014LAUG 2015LMAY 2017WJUL 2018LNOV 2018LMAR 2019LNOV 2020LJUL 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 38, SUB R2.
  3. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  5. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  6. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 68, DEC R3.
  8. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 78, SUB R3.
  9. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 71, DEC R3.
  10. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 81, SUB R2.
  11. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 90, SUB R2.
  12. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  15. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  22. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  23. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  24. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  25. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  26. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  27. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  28. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  29. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  30. Start, NOV 2020, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  31. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 65, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Vitoria), bottomed at 38 (L vs Ellis). Current reading: 65.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
30/30 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
7%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
5
17%
4
13%
1
3%
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
1
3%
15
50%
-
2
7%
18
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 30 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
60%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
30 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Ayaka HamasakiJul 31, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Rizin FF - Rizin 37
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Danielle TaylorNov 11, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
XFC 43 - Xtreme Fighting Championships
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Marina RodriguezMar 30, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 2 - Barboza vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Weili ZhangNov 24, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 3:41
UFC Fight Night 141 - Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Jodie EsquibelJul 14, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 133 - Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Cortney CaseyMay 13, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Claudia GadelhaAug 1, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 190 - Rousey vs. Correia
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kalindra FariaNov 15, 2014
DecisionR5 · 5:00
WSOF 15 - Branch vs. Okami
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Emi FujinoJun 21, 2014
DecisionR5 · 5:00
WSOF 10 - Branch vs. Taylor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Alida GrayJan 18, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 2:45
WSOF 8 - Gaethje vs. Patishnock
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Megumi FujiiOct 5, 2013
DecisionR2 · 5:00
Vale Tudo Japan - VTJ 3rd
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Decision (Majority)
W
VS Patricia VidonicMar 28, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 94
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Women's Strawweight. Professional record 20-10. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Jessica Aguilar

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Jessica AguilarUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28