// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Joe Heiland
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Joe
Heiland

NICKNAME"Smokin"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
9-3-1
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Joe Heiland
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
AGE
44
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
9
LOSS
3
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
69%
9/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
33%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
LWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.95
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.63
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#75
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1523
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
18th
percentile · average opponent rated 1519 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
12th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.26 per fight)

8 rated fights · opponents rated in 62% of recorded fights · last rated fight DEC 5, 2015

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 3
DEC · 6
3
KO/TKO
33%
0
SUB
0%
6
DEC
67%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
33%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
33% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
67%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING36CHIN88STRIKING53CARDIO80AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=9 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling36
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking53
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio80
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins9 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking53 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2007WJUN 2007WSEP 2007WFEB 2008WDEC 2008WMAY 2009LDEC 2009SEP 2010WOCT 2010LAPR 2012WJUN 2012WOCT 2012WMAY 2013LDEC 2015// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 61, DEC R3.
  4. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  6. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  7. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  8. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 79.
  9. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 88, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  12. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Tindall), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
8%
2
17%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
1
8%
-
-
-
-
1
total
DEC
-
-
8
67%
-
-
8
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
62%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Chance RencountreDec 5, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
C3 Fights - Beltran vs. Stafford
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Augusta TindallMay 10, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UVC 23 - Invasion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Jon WashingtonOct 20, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
NAAFS - Caged Vengeance 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Andrew OsborneJun 2, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
NAAFS - Fight Night in the Flats 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Julian LaneApr 20, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 2:49
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 66
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Josh MartinOct 23, 2010
KO/TKOR2 · 3:14
BUCB - Raging Bull
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
D
VS Ryan BixlerSep 4, 2010
DrawR3 · 5:00
C3 Fights - Knockout-Rockout Weekend 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw
L
VS Daniel StrausDec 5, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
NAAFS - Night of Champions 2009
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Marcio NavarroMay 9, 2009
DecisionR3 · 3:00
SJW 3 - Slammin Jammin Weekend 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Torrance TaylorDec 6, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
NAAFS - Night of Champions 2008
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS David SlussFeb 16, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 0:47
NAAFS - Caged Fury 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS John MeyerSep 8, 2007
DecisionR3 · 5:00
NAAFS - Rock N Rumble 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 9-3-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Joe Heiland

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28