// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Joe Stevenson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0LIGHTWEIGHT

Joe
Stevenson

NICKNAME"Daddy"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
33-16-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Joe Stevenson
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'7"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
49 BOUTS
WIN
33
LOSS
16
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
33/49 bouts
FINISH RATE
67%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 2-3
LLLWW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with grappling at the core — 39% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.05
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
44%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.44
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.75
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
44%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
39%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
2.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#51
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1556
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1447 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
50th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.06 per fight)

36 rated fights · opponents rated in 73% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 26, 2016

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (33)
n = 33
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 13
DEC · 11
9
KO/TKO
27%
13
SUB
39%
11
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 5
DEC · 9
2
KO/TKO
13%
5
SUB
31%
9
DEC
56%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
67% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
27%
SUBANY ROUND · 13 fights
39%
DECFULL FIGHT · 11 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
49 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER39TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING76CHIN83STRIKING32CARDIO71AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE67RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power39
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=33 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (39%)

Grappling76
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=49 bouts
Striking32
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio71
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (2.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (60%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=16 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power39 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins33 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (39%)Not recorded
Grappling76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record49 bouts
Striking32 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (2.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.16 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 1999WMAY 1999WJUN 1999LJUN 1999LOCT 1999LFEB 2000WAPR 2000WMAY 2000WAUG 2000WNOV 2000WFEB 2001WAPR 2001LMAY 2001WJUN 2001WAUG 2001LAUG 2001WSEP 2001WNOV 2001WFEB 2002WMAR 2002WJUN 2002LOCT 2002WFEB 2003WAPR 2003WMAY 2003WAUG 2003WSEP 2003WNOV 2003WDEC 2003WFEB 2004WNOV 2005LAPR 2006WJUL 2006WNOV 2006WAPR 2007WAUG 2007LJAN 2008WJUL 2008LNOV 2008LFEB 2009WJUN 2009WOCT 2009LFEB 2010LDEC 2010LMAR 2011LJUN 2011LJUN 2012LJAN 2015WJUL 2016WAUG 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 1999, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 1999, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUN 1999, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUN 1999, momentum score 55, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, OCT 1999, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2000, momentum score 41, SUB R2.
  7. Start, APR 2000, momentum score 48, DEC R2.
  8. Start, MAY 2000, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  9. Start, AUG 2000, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  10. Start, NOV 2000, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  11. Start, FEB 2001, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  12. Start, APR 2001, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAY 2001, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JUN 2001, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  15. Start, AUG 2001, momentum score 95, DEC R2.
  16. Start, AUG 2001, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2001, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, NOV 2001, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, FEB 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, MAR 2002, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  21. Start, JUN 2002, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, OCT 2002, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, FEB 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, APR 2003, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  25. Start, MAY 2003, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  26. Start, AUG 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  28. Start, NOV 2003, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  30. Start, FEB 2004, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  31. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  32. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  33. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  34. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  35. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  36. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  37. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  38. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  39. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  40. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  41. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  42. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  43. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  44. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  45. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  46. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  47. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 62, SUB R2.
  48. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 55, DEC R5.
  49. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  50. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 73, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Gumm), bottomed at 41 (L vs Wilson). Current reading: 73.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
49/49 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
9
18%
2
4%
-
-
-
11
total
SUB
13
27%
5
10%
-
-
-
18
total
DEC
-
2
4%
17
35%
-
1
2%
20
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 49 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
41%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
49 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Tru-Form Entertainment - TFE MMA: Vengeance
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Daniel McWilliamsJul 30, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 1:21
CFL - California Fight League 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Dominique RobinsonJan 30, 2015
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Mosley Showdown / Swarm Entertainment - Super Brawl 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Dakota CochraneJun 30, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 1:04
RFA 3 - Stevenson vs. Cochrane
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Javier VazquezJun 26, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Live 4 - Kongo vs. Barry
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Live 3 - Sanchez vs. Kampmann
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mac DanzigDec 11, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 1:54
UFC 124 - St. Pierre vs. Koscheck 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 110 - Nogueira vs. Velasquez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Spencer FisherOct 24, 2009
KO/TKOR2 · 4:03
UFC 104 - Machida vs. Shogun
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Elbows)
W
VS Nate DiazJun 20, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 9 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Diego SanchezFeb 21, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 95 - Sanchez vs. Stevenson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Kenny FlorianNov 15, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 4:03
UFC 91 - Couture vs. Lesnar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 33-16. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28