// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Johnny Case
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Johnny
Case

NICKNAME"Hollywood"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
28-10-1
CURRENT FORM
— STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Johnny Case
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
37
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
40 BOUTS
WIN
28
LOSS
10
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
72%
28/40 bouts
FINISH RATE
86%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS— STREAK · 1-3
LLWL-
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 71% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.95
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
38%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.66
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.70
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
45%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
72%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#80
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1517
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
23rd
percentile · average opponent rated 1525 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
8th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.32 per fight)

23 rated fights · opponents rated in 59% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 9, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (28)
n = 28
KO/TKO · 20
SUB · 4
DEC · 4
20
KO/TKO
71%
4
SUB
14%
4
DEC
14%
// LOSSES (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 3
DEC · 3
4
KO/TKO
40%
3
SUB
30%
3
DEC
30%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
86% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 20 fights
71%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
14%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
14%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
40 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE71GRAPPLING60CHIN76STRIKING41CARDIO77AGGRESSION41SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE69RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=28 wins
TD Defense71
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (72%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin76
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=39 bouts
Striking41
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio77
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression41
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense69
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (61%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=10 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins28 wins
TD Defense71 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (72%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record39 bouts
Striking41 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression41 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense69 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.10 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2007LDEC 2007LMAY 2008WJUN 2008WJUL 2008WDEC 2008WFEB 2009WAPR 2009WSEP 2009WNOV 2009WDEC 2009LFEB 2010WAPR 2010WAUG 2010LOCT 2010WJAN 2011WAPR 2011WJUL 2011WFEB 2012WNOV 2012WFEB 2013WAUG 2013WOCT 2013WSEP 2014WJAN 2015WJUN 2015WNOV 2015LMAR 2016LJUN 2017WMAR 2018WJUL 2018OCT 2018WDEC 2018WJUL 2019WOCT 2019LDEC 2019LAPR 2022LJUL 2022WDEC 2022LJUN 2024MAY 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 38, SUB R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 28, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 39, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 59, SUB R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 70, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  10. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  24. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  25. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  26. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  27. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  28. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  29. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  30. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R2.
  31. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100.
  33. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  34. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  35. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  36. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 83, SUB R1.
  38. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  39. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  40. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 80, DEC R3.
  41. Start, MAY 2025, momentum score 80.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Bergeron), bottomed at 28 (L vs LeVesseur). Current reading: 80.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
38/40 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
18
47%
5
13%
1
3%
-
-
24
total
SUB
5
13%
1
3%
1
3%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
7
18%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 23 of 38 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
18%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
40 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

D
VS Juri OharaMay 31, 2025
No ContestR1 · 2:22
Rizin FF - World Series in Korea
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Missed Weight)
L
VS Noah BeyJun 9, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Rizin FF - Rizin 47
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Nobumitsu OsawaDec 31, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 0:36
Rizin FF - Rizin 40: Bellator MMA vs. Rizin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Koji TakedaJul 31, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Rizin FF - Rizin 37
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Roberto Satoshi de SouzaApr 17, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 3:32
Rizin FF - Rizin 35
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar)
L
VS Tofiq MusayevDec 31, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 2:47
Rizin FF - Rizin 20
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Roberto Satoshi de SouzaOct 12, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 1:15
Rizin FF - Rizin 19: Lightweight Grand Prix 1st Round
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punch)
W
VS Satoru KitaokaJul 28, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
Rizin FF - Rizin 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Corner Stoppage)
W
VS Yusuke YachiDec 31, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 4:47
Rizin FF - Rizin 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
D
VS Natan SchulteOct 13, 2018
DrawR2 · 5:00
Professional Fighters League - PFL 9: 2018 Season PFL Playoffs 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Majority)
W
VS Jose Luis VerdugoJul 28, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 0:36
Iron Boy Promotions - Iron Boy MMA 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Brandon LonganoMar 10, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 3:25
Extreme Beatdown - Beatdown 21
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 28-10-1 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28