// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · John Raio
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

John
Raio

NICKNAME"First Class"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
3-8-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
John Raio
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
11 BOUTS
WIN
3
LOSS
8
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
27%
3/11 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 1-4
LLLLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.65
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
48%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.86
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
51%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
58%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#110
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1469
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
5th
percentile · average opponent rated 1500 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.49 per fight)

2 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 21, 2013 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
2
SUB
67%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 2
6
KO/TKO
75%
2
SUB
25%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
67%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
11 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE40GRAPPLING40CHIN23STRIKING42CARDIO51AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE47RECOVERY25
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Chin.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=3 wins
TD Defense40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (58%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin23
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=11 bouts
Striking42
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio51
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=11 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (51%)

Recovery25
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins3 wins
TD Defense40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin23 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record11 bouts
Striking42 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share11 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (51%)Not recorded
Recovery25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2012LNOV 2012LFEB 2013LMAR 2013LJUL 2013WSEP 2013WFEB 2014LMAY 2014LSEP 2014LAPR 2015LJUN 2015WNOV 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 38, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 31, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 24, KO/TKO R3.
  5. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 14, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 25, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 35, SUB R1.
  8. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 28, SUB R1.
  9. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 21, SUB R1.
  10. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 11, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 4, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 14, SUB R3.

Peaked at 45 (Debut), bottomed at 4 (L vs Boyington). Current reading: 14.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
11/11 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
27%
3
27%
1
9%
-
-
7
total
SUB
3
27%
-
1
9%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 11 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
0%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
11 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Zenon HerreraNov 3, 2017
SubmissionR3 · 2:45
NEF 31 - The Old Port
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Bruce BoyingtonJun 13, 2015
KO/TKOR2 · 3:30
NEF 18 - Made in America
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Derek ShoreyApr 11, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 3:20
NEF - Fight Night 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
L
VS Derek ShoreySep 6, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 3:41
NEF - Fight Night 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Amos CollinsMay 10, 2014
SubmissionR1 · N/A
NEF - Fight Night 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Bruce BoyingtonFeb 8, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 4:46
NEF - Fight Night 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Asa ZornSep 21, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 0:28
NEF - Fight Night 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Damon OwensJul 12, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 0:35
NEF - Nations Collide: Canadian Invasion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick)
L
VS Vince MurdockMar 21, 2013
KO/TKOR3 · 4:01
Bellator MMA - Bellator 93
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
L
VS Tony WoodmanFeb 2, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 0:00
NEF - Fight Night 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Ray WoodNov 17, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 0:00
NEF - Fight Night 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 3-8. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research John Raio

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-29