// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Jonny Carson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Jonny
Carson

NICKNAME"The King of Late Night"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jonny Carson
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
18 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
61%
11/18 bouts
FINISH RATE
73%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
LWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 55% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#95
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1492
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
9th
percentile · average opponent rated 1508 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
35th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.04 per fight)

11 rated fights · opponents rated in 61% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 3, 2015

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 6
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
18%
6
SUB
55%
3
DEC
27%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
SUB · 7
0
KO/TKO
0%
7
SUB
100%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
73% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
18%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
55%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
27%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
18 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER26TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKINGN/ACARDIO66AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY83
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power26
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=18 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio66
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery83
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power26 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record18 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2006WNOV 2006WAPR 2007WMAY 2007LMAY 2007WSEP 2007WNOV 2007WOCT 2008WMAY 2009LSEP 2009WMAY 2010LAUG 2010WOCT 2010LDEC 2010LFEB 2011WFEB 2012LNOV 2012WAPR 2013LAPR 2015// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 68, SUB R2.
  6. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 75, DEC R5.
  7. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 85, SUB R2.
  8. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 95, SUB R2.
  9. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  11. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  13. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R4.
  15. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 86, SUB R3.
  16. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 96, SUB R3.
  17. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 89, SUB R1.
  18. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 96, DEC R5.
  19. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 89, SUB R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Lopez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 89.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/18 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
11%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
5
28%
4
22%
3
17%
1
6%
-
13
total
DEC
-
-
1
6%
-
2
11%
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
17%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
18 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Daniel PinedaApr 3, 2015
SubmissionR3 · 1:45
LFC 41 - Legacy Fighting Championship 41
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Marcio NavarroApr 12, 2013
DecisionR5 · 3:00
XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
SubmissionR1 · 4:49
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 79
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Codale FordFeb 17, 2012
SubmissionR3 · 2:11
XFL - Xtreme Fight Night 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Mike BudnikFeb 25, 2011
SubmissionR3 · 1:15
XFL - XFN 2: Harris vs. Head
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS J.C. CottrellDec 10, 2010
SubmissionR4 · 2:53
XFL - Rumble on the River 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
W
VS Michael CasteelOct 22, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 0:35
XFL - Xtreme Fighting League
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Brian CobbAug 14, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 1:10
FFW - Fight for Wrestling 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Art RamirezMay 22, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 4:27
FFW - Fight for Wrestling 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Kenny GiddensSep 25, 2009
SubmissionR2 · 4:15
Strikeforce - Challengers 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
W
VS Jared LopezMay 2, 2009
DecisionR3 · 3:00
FCF - Freestyle Cage Fighting 31
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Donnie FryeOct 11, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 2:59
HRP - Snakebite Fight 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 11-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28