// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Jordan Lucas
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNBANTAMWEIGHT

Jordan
Lucas

NICKNAME"Showtime"·AUSTRALIA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
8-2-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Jordan Lucas
FIGHTER -
AUS🇦🇺
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
AGE
52
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
10 BOUTS
WIN
8
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
80%
8/10 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 3-2
WWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.27
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
48%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.93
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
10%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 103 rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#100
against the 103 rated on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1469
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
6th
percentile · average opponent rated 1499 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.49 per fight)

2 rated fights · opponents rated in 20% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 7, 2016 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 4
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
25%
4
SUB
50%
2
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
SUB · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
100%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
10 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING38CARDIO54AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE22RECOVERY0
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Recovery.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=8 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=10 bouts
Striking38
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio54
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (40%)

Recovery0
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins8 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record10 bouts
Striking38 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio54 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (40%)Not recorded
Recovery0 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2012WJUN 2012WSEP 2012WMAY 2013WAUG 2013WDEC 2013WMAY 2014WAUG 2014WNOV 2014LMAR 2016LOCT 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  5. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 86, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Ivory), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 86.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
10/10 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
20%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
6
60%
-
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
2
20%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 10 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
20%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
10 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Yusup SaadulaevOct 7, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 4:27
One Championship - State of Warriors
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Edward KellyMar 18, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 3:47
One Championship 40 - Union of Warriors
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Stephen ReeksNov 22, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 3:52
BFW - Tournament Season 1 Final
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Edwin AranaAug 9, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 2:40
BFW 29 - Brace For War 29
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Richie IvoryMay 17, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFW 27 - Brace For War 27
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Adam CorbettDec 14, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 2:00
AFC 7 - Australian Fighting Championship 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Blake EdwardsAug 10, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 1:49
UCU 1 - Unarmed Combat Unleashed 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Joel FisherMay 10, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AFC 5 - Australian Fighting Championship 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ramen HabibSep 15, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 2:15
Shamrock Events - Night of Mayhem 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Daniel O'ReganJun 16, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 1:07
Fight Night Australia - National Fight Competition
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 8-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Jordan Lucas

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Jordan LucasUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28