// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Josh Ferguson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFLYWEIGHT

Josh
Ferguson

NICKNAME"Taz"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-5-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Josh Ferguson
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'5"
AGE
38
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
16 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
69%
11/16 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 3-2
LLWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 91% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.13
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
43%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.18
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
32%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.59
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
11%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
54%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 60 rated fighters on the UFC flyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#57
against the 60 rated on the UFC flyweight roster · Elo 1472
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1386 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
82nd
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.24 per fight)

6 rated fights · opponents rated in 38% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 1, 2020 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 10
1
KO/TKO
9%
10
SUB
91%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
40%
3
DEC
60%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
9%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
91%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
16 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE31GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING30CARDIO73AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE20RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense31
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (54%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=16 bouts
Striking30
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio73
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (32%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense31 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record16 bouts
Striking30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (32%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2007WJUL 2007WSEP 2007WDEC 2007LAPR 2008WMAY 2008WJUL 2008WOCT 2008WNOV 2008LAPR 2009WJUN 2009LOCT 2009LDEC 2011LJUL 2012WJAN 2013WSEP 2013WFEB 2020// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 67, DEC R3.
  6. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 87, SUB R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 97, SUB R2.
  9. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  13. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 86, SUB R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  15. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  17. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Dennis), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
16/16 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
6%
-
-
-
-
1
total
SUB
9
56%
2
13%
1
6%
-
-
12
total
DEC
-
-
3
19%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 16 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
19%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
16 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Erik VoFeb 1, 2020
SubmissionR1 · 3:42
HRMMA - Hardrock MMA 114
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jason CarrierSep 21, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 0:39
HRMMA - Hardrock MMA 57
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Tyler VothJan 5, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 0:18
BB - Bluegrass Brawl 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Chris CariasoJul 11, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fuel TV 4 - Munoz vs. Weidman
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
SubmissionR3 · 0:22
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 14 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UWC 7 - Redemption
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Matt TroyerJun 27, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 3:47
RFL - Maximum Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Mike EastonApr 25, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 4:06
UWC 6 - Capital Punishment
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Stonnie DennisNov 21, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 2:05
EC 111 - Extreme Challenge 111
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Cory AlexanderOct 3, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 1:45
SOS - Showcase of Strength
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
W
VS Hobert CornettJul 5, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 3:12
PS - Premier Sports
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Robert Walker IIIMay 31, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 1:53
Bushi 3 - Fight for a Cure
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 11-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28