// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Josh Herrick
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Josh
Herrick

NICKNAME"Son of Nun"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
7-5-0
CURRENT FORM
4L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Josh Herrick
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
7
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
58%
7/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
57%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4L STREAK · 1-4
WLLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 57% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.85
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.71
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#102
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1480
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1469 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
4th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.40 per fight)

5 rated fights · opponents rated in 42% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 21, 2013 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (7)
n = 7
SUB · 4
DEC · 3
0
KO/TKO
0%
4
SUB
57%
3
DEC
43%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
2
KO/TKO
40%
3
SUB
60%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
57% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
57%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
43%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN68STRIKING49CARDIO49AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY25
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=7 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio49
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery25
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins7 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2006WJUN 2006WMAR 2008WMAY 2008WAUG 2008LMAR 2009WOCT 2009WJAN 2010WSEP 2010LMAR 2011LMAY 2011LNOV 2011LJUN 2013// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 72, SUB R2.
  5. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  6. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  8. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  9. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  10. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  11. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  12. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R3.
  13. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 67, SUB R2.

Peaked at 95 (W vs Willingham), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 67.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
8%
-
1
8%
-
-
2
total
SUB
5
42%
2
17%
-
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
3
25%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
25%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Noah SchnableJun 21, 2013
SubmissionR2 · 1:07
TWC 17 - Conflict
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Steve MagdalenoNov 20, 2011
KO/TKOR3 · 0:33
LBFN 13 - Long Beach Fight Night 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Art ArciniegaMay 6, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 1:08
TPF 9 - The Contenders
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Brandon BenderMar 5, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 3:42
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 35
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Todd WillinghamSep 25, 2010
DecisionR3 · 3:00
PureCombat 12 - Champions for Children
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Ben GuyerJan 10, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 0:40
TWC 6 - Primitive Rage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Joe MoralesOct 17, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 0:26
PureCombat 10 - Fearless
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Zack TrammelMar 7, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 0:49
PureCombat 7 - Backyard Brawl
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Raul RodriguezAug 15, 2008
DecisionR3 · 3:00
PureCombat 5 - Hard Core
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Justin CummingsMay 18, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 1:35
GC 78 - No Limits
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Juan LopezMar 17, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 0:25
GC 76 - Alpha Dog Challenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Choke)
W
VS Mike HernandezJun 3, 2006
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFP - Supremacy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 7-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28