// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Justin Lawrence
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Justin
Lawrence

NICKNAME"The American Kidd"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-5-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Justin Lawrence
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'7"
AGE
36
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
16 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
69%
11/16 bouts
FINISH RATE
55%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WLWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 45% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.84
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
35%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.83
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
67%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.72
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
28%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
73%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#82
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1516
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
61st
percentile · average opponent rated 1559 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
36th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.01 per fight)

18 rated fights · opponents rated in 100% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 13, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 1
DEC · 5
5
KO/TKO
45%
1
SUB
9%
5
DEC
45%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
40%
1
SUB
20%
3
DEC
60%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
55% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
45%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
9%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
45%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
17 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER65TD DEFENSE73GRAPPLING40CHIN81STRIKING36CARDIO64AGGRESSION29SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE82RECOVERY80
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Str Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power65
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense73
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (73%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin81
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=16 bouts
Striking36
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio64
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression29
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense82
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (67%)

Recovery80
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense73 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (73%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record16 bouts
Striking36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression29 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense82 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (67%)Not recorded
Recovery80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2002LAUG 2002WDEC 2010WAPR 2011WNOV 2011WJUN 2012LAUG 2012LAPR 2013WOCT 2013WAUG 2014WAPR 2015WJUN 2015LNOV 2015WJUN 2016LDEC 2016WJUL 2017WJAN 2018LAPR 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2002, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2002, momentum score 38, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 45, DEC R3.
  4. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  5. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 71, KO/TKO R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R2.
  8. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 57, SUB R1.
  9. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 64, DEC R3.
  10. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 71, DEC R5.
  11. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 85, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 94, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 87, DEC R3.
  16. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Natividad), bottomed at 38 (L vs Healy). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
17/17 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
18%
3
18%
1
6%
-
-
7
total
SUB
2
12%
-
-
-
-
2
total
DEC
-
-
7
41%
-
1
6%
8
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 17 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
47%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
17 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS A.J. McKeeApr 13, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 197 - Chandler vs. Girtz
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Andrew NatividadJan 26, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 193 - Larkin vs. Gonzalez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Treston ThomisonJul 14, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 3:34
Bellator 181 - Campos vs. Girtz 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
L
VS John TeixeiraDec 3, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 167 - Taimanglo vs. Caldwell 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Isao KobayashiJun 24, 2016
KO/TKOR2 · 2:49
Bellator 157 - Dynamite 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Emmanuel SanchezNov 6, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 145 - Vengeance
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Sean WilsonJun 19, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 4:56
Bellator 138 - Unfinished Business
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Sam ToomerApr 10, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 4:55
RFA 25 - Lawrence vs. Toomer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees to the Body and Punches)
W
VS Mark DickmanAug 22, 2014
DecisionR5 · 5:00
RFA 17 - Cochrane vs. Giagos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Luis SaldanaOct 25, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RFA 10 - Rhodes vs. Jouban
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Daniel PinedaApr 13, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:35
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 17 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
L
VS Max HollowayAug 11, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 4:49
UFC 150 - Henderson vs. Edgar 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 11-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Justin Lawrence

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Justin LawrenceUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28