// Roster Index›Heavyweight›Dossier · Justin Lemke
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNHEAVYWEIGHT

Justin
Lemke

NICKNAME"The Fighting Fireman"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
8-2-0
CURRENT FORM
5W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
WEIGHT
Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
10 BOUTS
WIN
8
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
80%
8/10 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS5W STREAK · 5-0
WWWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 38% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.90
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.60
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.60
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 50%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 0.72
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 30%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 50%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.00
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 64 rated fighters on the UFC heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#57
against the 64 rated on the UFC heavyweight roster · Elo 1491
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1421 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
50th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.04 per fight)

4 rated fights · opponents rated in 44% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 16, 2010 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
3
KO/TKO
38%
3
SUB
38%
2
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
50%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
38%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
38%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
10 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 10, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER54TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING60CHIN76STRIKING52CARDIO61AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power54
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=8 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin76
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=10 bouts
Striking52
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=10 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power54 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins8 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record10 bouts
Striking52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share10 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2007WMAY 2007WJAN 2008LJUN 2008WNOV 2008LFEB 2009WAUG 2009WNOV 2009WJUN 2010WSEP 2010WNOV 2010// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R3.
  3. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 61, DEC R3.
  4. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 54, DEC R3.
  5. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 64, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 57, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 78, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  11. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Carter), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
10/10 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
20%
1
10%
1
10%
-
-
4
total
SUB
3
30%
-
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
3
30%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 10 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
30%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
10 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Ron CarterNov 24, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 2:34
NAFC - Bad Blood
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Keylock)
W
VS Jason GuidaSep 16, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 29
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Dustin BlockJun 5, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 0:37
NAFC - Unstoppable
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Sherman PendergarstNov 7, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 0:00
GCF - Strength and Honor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Eric ChristieAug 15, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 2:25
GCF - Fair Warning
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Sam AlveyFeb 28, 2009
KO/TKOR2 · 2:31
RFN - Racine Fight Night 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Joey FingalsonNov 7, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 2:40
EC 110 - Extreme Challenge 110
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Ron FairclothJun 21, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
KTK 21 - Slam Fest
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Aaron PraschakJan 26, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Combat USA - Fight Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Clayton TutorMay 19, 2007
KO/TKOR3 · 1:43
KTK - Konquer the Kage 16
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Heavyweight. Professional record 8-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Justin Lemke

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28