// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Justin Overton
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Justin
Overton

NICKNAME"O-Town"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
8-5-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Justin Overton
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
AGE
37
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
8
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
62%
8/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 100% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.90
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.69
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#82
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1510
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1479 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
50th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.07 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 69% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 7, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (8)
n = 8
SUB · 8
0
KO/TKO
0%
8
SUB
100%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 4
1
KO/TKO
20%
4
SUB
80%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
100%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 10, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN79STRIKING49CARDIO51AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=8 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin79
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio51
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins8 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2015WJUN 2015WJUL 2015WMAR 2016LMAY 2016LSEP 2016WJAN 2017LMAR 2017LMAY 2017WAPR 2018WAUG 2018WMAR 2019LOCT 2020WMAY 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R3.
  6. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 60, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 70, SUB R2.
  8. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 63, SUB R2.
  9. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 56, SUB R1.
  10. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 66, SUB R1.
  11. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 76, SUB R1.
  12. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 86, SUB R2.
  13. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 79, SUB R3.
  14. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 88, SUB R1.

Peaked at 88 (W vs Gary), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 88.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
13/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
-
-
1
8%
-
-
1
total
SUB
8
62%
3
23%
1
8%
-
-
12
total
DEC
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
No early-round finish pattern
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
0%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Jonathan GaryMay 7, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 3:32
RITC - Rage in the Cage OKC 87
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS David OnamaOct 9, 2020
SubmissionR3 · 1:42
FAC 4 - Fighting Alliance Championship 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Chris MullinsMar 1, 2019
SubmissionR2 · 3:02
HD MMA 16 - Smith vs. Nichols
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
W
VS Edwin WilliamsAug 25, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 3:25
HD MMA 13 - Avila vs Deen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
W
VS Shakir McKillipApr 27, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 1:50
C3 Fights 46 - Clash at the Council
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
L
VS Darrick MinnerMay 5, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 1:20
VFC 57 - Victory Fighting Championship 57
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Aaron McKenzieMar 11, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 4:03
KOP 53 - Bricktown Rumble
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Gaston ReynoJan 27, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 0:34
Bellator 171 - Guillard vs. Njokuani
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Daryl WilsonSep 24, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 2:53
Ringside Ticket / HD MMA - Apocalypse in the Cage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
L
VS Chuka WillisMay 21, 2016
KO/TKOR3 · 3:49
VFC 50 - Victory Fighting Championship 50
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
W
VS L.J. HermreckMar 11, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 1:28
VFC - Junction City 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Dalton GoddardJul 18, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 2:28
XFL - Rage on the River 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 8-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28