// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Justin Patterson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Justin
Patterson

NICKNAME"The Tactician"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-7-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Justin Patterson
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
AGE
40
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
18 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
61%
11/18 bouts
FINISH RATE
55%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 45% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#80
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1507
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
12th
percentile · average opponent rated 1507 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
3rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.27 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 72% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 20, 2023

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 1
DEC · 5
5
KO/TKO
45%
1
SUB
9%
5
DEC
45%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
3
KO/TKO
43%
2
SUB
29%
2
DEC
29%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
55% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
45%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
9%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
45%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
18 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 10, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER65TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING40CHIN68STRIKINGN/ACARDIO74AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power65
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=18 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio74
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record18 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2012WNOV 2012WOCT 2013WJUL 2014WAUG 2014WFEB 2015WSEP 2015LNOV 2015WMAR 2016LAUG 2016WDEC 2016WMAR 2017LMAR 2017LOCT 2017WMAR 2018WNOV 2018LMAR 2019LMAR 2020LOCT 2023// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  7. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  8. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  10. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  12. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  13. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  15. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, MAR 2020, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  19. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Witt), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 73.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/18 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
22%
2
11%
2
11%
-
-
8
total
SUB
3
17%
-
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
7
39%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
39%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
18 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Anthony IvyOct 20, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 3:15
XKO 64 - Fight Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Matt DixonMar 6, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 83 - Jackson vs. Chaulet
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Derrick KrantzMar 29, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 2:23
LFA 63 - Krantz vs. Patterson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Ramiz BrahimajNov 30, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 55 - Johns vs. Yanez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Brian GrinnellMar 2, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 4:49
Bellator 195 - Caldwell vs. Higo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees and Punches)
L
VS Chance RencountreOct 6, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 2:58
Bellator 184 - Dantas vs. Caldwell
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
L
VS Joaquin BuckleyMar 31, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 175 - Rampage vs. King Mo 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jason WittMar 3, 2017
KO/TKOR3 · 0:13
Bellator 174 - Coenen vs. Budd
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Codale FordDec 3, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 167 - Taimanglo vs. Caldwell 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jordan PlasianceAug 26, 2016
KO/TKOR3 · 3:00
RMMA - Renaissance MMA 37
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Chance RencountreMar 4, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 151 - Warren vs. Caldwell
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Codale FordNov 20, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 2:17
Bellator 146 - Kato vs. Manhoef
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 11-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28