// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Justin Smitley
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFEATHERWEIGHT

Justin
Smitley

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-8-1
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Justin Smitley
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
19 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
8
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
53%
10/19 bouts
FINISH RATE
40%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-1-1
W-WWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 60% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 115 rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#98
against the 115 rated on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1496
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
22nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1519 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
27th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.12 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 63% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 29, 2018

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
SUB · 4
DEC · 6
0
KO/TKO
0%
4
SUB
40%
6
DEC
60%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 6
DEC · 2
6
KO/TKO
75%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
25%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
40% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
40%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
60%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
19 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 10, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN50STRIKINGN/ACARDIO72AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY57
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin50
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=19 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio72
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery57
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record19 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2006LJUL 2006LAPR 2007WAUG 2007LOCT 2007WFEB 2008WMAR 2008WMAY 2008WJUL 2008LJAN 2009LMAR 2009WJUN 2009LOCT 2009LMAY 2010WAPR 2011WSEP 2011MAR 2013WAUG 2013WJAN 2016LSEP 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 28, KO/TKO R3.
  4. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 35, DEC R3.
  5. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 28, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 35, DEC R3.
  7. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 45, SUB R1.
  8. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  11. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 51, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 60, SUB R1.
  13. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 53, KO/TKO R3.
  14. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 53, DEC R3.
  16. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 60, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 60.
  18. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 67, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 74, DEC R3.
  20. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 74 (W vs Arciniega), bottomed at 28 (L vs Benavidez). Current reading: 65.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/19 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
11%
2
11%
2
11%
-
-
6
total
SUB
4
22%
-
-
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
8
44%
-
-
8
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
42%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
19 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Jeremiah LabianoSep 29, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 3:28
Bellator 206 - Mousasi vs. MacDonald
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Art ArciniegaJan 29, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 148 - Daley vs. Uhrich
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Justin FarmerAug 3, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Art of War Productions - Tactical Violence
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Adrian DiazMar 2, 2013
DrawR3 · 5:00
Art of War Productions - Stand & Deliver
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Majority)
W
VS Adrian DiazSep 10, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UPC Unlimited - Up & Comers 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Tony BoylesApr 16, 2011
DecisionR3 · 3:00
RF - Rebel Fights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Andre FiliMay 1, 2010
KO/TKOR2 · 1:41
Gladiator Challenge - Champions
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Evan EsguerraOct 24, 2009
KO/TKOR3 · 1:00
LTD - Rumble in Richmond
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Sam MiloJun 27, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 2:40
EC - Extreme Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
L
VS Isaac DeJesusMar 29, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
TWC 2 - Dead Man's Hand
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Tito JonesJan 22, 2009
DecisionR3 · 3:00
PFC 12 - High Stakes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Sergio CortezJul 27, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 0:37
GC 81 - Lights Out
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 10-8-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28