// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Keith McCabe
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Keith
McCabe

NICKNAME"The Butcher"·IRELAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
3-3-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Keith McCabe
FIGHTER -
IRE🇮🇪
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
6 BOUTS
WIN
3
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
3/6 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 1-3-1
WL-LL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 100% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.65
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.75
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#100
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1455
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
5th
percentile · average opponent rated 1495 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
3rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.27 per fight)

8 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 27, 2019

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 3
1
KO/TKO
33%
3
SUB
100%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 4
DEC · 3
4
KO/TKO
133%
0
SUB
0%
3
DEC
100%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
100%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 11, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING40CHIN48STRIKING45CARDIO51AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=3 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin48
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=6 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio51
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins3 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record6 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2007WFEB 2007LOCT 2007WSEP 2008LAPR 2009WAUG 2009LAPR 2010LAPR 2016WOCT 2016LDEC 2016MAY 2019LJUN 2019LSEP 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 55, SUB R2.
  3. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 45, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 55, SUB R2.
  5. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 48, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 51, DEC R3.
  8. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 42, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 51, SUB R1.
  10. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 42, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 42.
  12. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 35, DEC R3.
  13. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 28, DEC R3.

Peaked at 58 (W vs Abrante), bottomed at 28 (L vs Mulpeter). Current reading: 28.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
11/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
36%
1
9%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
1
9%
2
18%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
3
27%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 11 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
25%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Philip MulpeterSep 27, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 227 - Gallagher vs. Salazar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Galore BofandoJun 22, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 223 - Mousasi vs. Lovato Jr.
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Vitold JageloMay 3, 2019
DrawR3 · 5:00
MMA Bushido 77 - Fighting Championship in Vilnius
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw
L
VS Richard KielyDec 16, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 2:03
BAMMA 27 - Duquesnoy vs. Philpott
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee to the Body)
W
VS Scott MulgrewOct 22, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 0:00
On Top - Weekender
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Kiefer CrosbieApr 2, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 1:10
BFC - Battlezone Fighting Championships 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Body Kick and Punches)
L
VS Mark Anthony SerkezApr 3, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AOF 7 - Payday
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kevin AbranteAug 22, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 1:01
AOF 4 - Damage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Haki LeeApr 25, 2009
KO/TKOR2 · N/A
AOF 2 - Rumble at Robarts 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Salvatore CostaSep 6, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 3:16
AE - Atomic Enterprizes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
L
VS Moyses GabinOct 6, 2007
KO/TKOR1 · 0:42
RIC - Cage Fighting Championships
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
W
VS Mike MaynorFeb 9, 2007
SubmissionR2 · 0:40
WFC 2 - Turf Wars
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Front Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 3-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Keith McCabe

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Keith McCabeUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28