// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Kentaro Watanabe
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFLYWEIGHT

Kentaro
Watanabe

NICKNAME"N/A"·JAPAN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
12-12-0
CURRENT FORM
4L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Kentaro Watanabe
FIGHTER -
JAP🇯🇵
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'4"
AGE
50
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
24 BOUTS
WIN
12
LOSS
12
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
12/24 bouts
FINISH RATE
42%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4L STREAK · 1-4
WLLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 58% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.60
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.40
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
35%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
37%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 60 rated fighters on the UFC flyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#61
against the 60 rated on the UFC flyweight roster · Elo 1408
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
5th
percentile · average opponent rated 1502 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
5th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.39 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 50% of recorded fights · last rated fight DEC 29, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 5
DEC · 7
5
KO/TKO
42%
0
SUB
0%
7
DEC
58%
// LOSSES (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 6
DEC · 6
6
KO/TKO
50%
0
SUB
0%
6
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
42% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
42%
DECFULL FIGHT · 7 fights
58%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
24 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 11, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER60TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING45CHIN58STRIKING26CARDIO67AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE20RECOVERY45
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power60
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=12 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (37%)

Grappling45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin58
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=24 bouts
Striking26
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio67
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (35%)

Recovery45
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=12 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins12 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (37%)Not recorded
Grappling45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record24 bouts
Striking26 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (35%)Not recorded
Recovery45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.12 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2008WMAR 2008WSEP 2008LDEC 2008WAUG 2009LOCT 2009WMAR 2010LAUG 2010WAPR 2011WSEP 2011WNOV 2011WJUL 2012WSEP 2012LAPR 2013WJUL 2013LJUN 2014LMAR 2015LJUN 2015LJUL 2016WDEC 2017WMAY 2019LSEP 2019LMAR 2020LJUL 2024LDEC 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 52, DEC R2.
  3. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 59, DEC R2.
  4. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 52, DEC R2.
  5. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 59, DEC R2.
  6. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 56, DEC R2.
  8. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 49, DEC R2.
  9. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 60, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 70, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 77, DEC R2.
  12. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 88, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  14. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  16. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 85, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 78, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 71, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 61, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 71, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, MAR 2020, momentum score 61, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 51, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, DEC 2024, momentum score 44, DEC R2.

Peaked at 95 (W vs Jo), bottomed at 44 (L vs Takaoka). Current reading: 44.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/24 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
42%
1
4%
-
-
-
11
total
SUB
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
DEC
-
8
33%
5
21%
-
-
13
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
54%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
24 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Hiroki TakaokaDec 29, 2024
DecisionR2 · 5:00
Shooto - Professional Shooto 2024 Final
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
L
VS Daichi MizutaJul 14, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 0:59
Shooto - Torao 33
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick and Punches)
L
VS Koki NaitoMar 21, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
Shooto - Mobstyles 20th Anniversary Tour: Fight ＆ Mosh Vol.2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Ryuya FukudaSep 22, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 1:20
Shooto - Border: Season 11 - The 3rd
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Cut)
W
VS Musashi NakasoneMay 12, 2019
KO/TKOR2 · 4:40
Shooto - Border: Season 11 - The 2nd
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punch)
W
VS Taku KajikawaDec 23, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 0:53
Shooto - Border: Season 9 - The 3rd
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Riley DutroJul 8, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · N/A
PXC - Pacific Xtreme Combat 54
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Yoshiro MaedaJun 21, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Vale Tudo Japan - VTJ in Osaka
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Darren UyenoyamaMar 13, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
PXC - Pacific Xtreme Combat 47
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Geje EustaquioJun 14, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
One FC 17 - Era of Champions
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kiyotaka ShimizuJul 27, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Shooto - 3rd Round 2013
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Yosuke SarutaApr 7, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 3:52
Shooto - Border: Season 5 - First
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 12-12. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Kentaro Watanabe

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28