// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Kevin Ferguson Jr.
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Kevin Ferguson
Jr.

NICKNAME"Baby Slice"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
3-3-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Kevin Ferguson Jr.
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
AGE
34
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
7 BOUTS
WIN
3
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
3/7 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-2
WWL-L
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.65
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.75
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#74
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1524
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
2nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1493 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
22nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.15 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 100% of recorded fights · last rated fight NOV 19, 2020

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 1
2
KO/TKO
67%
2
SUB
67%
1
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
3
KO/TKO
100%
1
SUB
33%
1
DEC
33%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
67%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
67%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
11 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 11, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING40CHIN68STRIKING45CARDIO53AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY75
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=3 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=6 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio53
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery75
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins3 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record6 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio53 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2008LOCT 2008WDEC 2009LMAY 2010WJUN 2015LNOV 2016WMAY 2017WNOV 2017WAPR 2018LOCT 2018OCT 2019LNOV 2020// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 42, DEC R3.
  4. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 39, SUB R2.
  7. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 59, SUB R1.
  9. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 69, SUB R1.
  10. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 62.
  12. Start, NOV 2020, momentum score 55, DEC R3.

Peaked at 69 (W vs Brock), bottomed at 35 (L vs Petruzelli). Current reading: 55.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
10/11 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
30%
2
20%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
2
20%
1
10%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
2
20%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 10 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
18%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
11 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Kaheem MurrayNov 19, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 253 - Caldwell vs. McKee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Craig CampbellOct 26, 2019
No ContestR1 · 0:38
Bellator 232 - MacDonald vs. Lima 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Overturned by MTDAR)
L
VS Corey BrowningOct 12, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 2:08
Bellator 207 - Mitrione vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Devon BrockApr 13, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 1:34
Bellator 197 - Chandler vs. Girtz
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Fred FreemanNov 10, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 1:57
Bellator 187 - McKee vs. Moore
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Darryal GriffinMay 19, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 3:40
Bellator 179 - Daley vs. MacDonald
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Aaron HamiltonNov 19, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 3:00
Bellator 165 - Chandler vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Ken ShamrockJun 19, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 2:22
Bellator 138 - Unfinished Business
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Matt MitrioneMay 8, 2010
KO/TKOR2 · 4:24
UFC 113 - Machida vs. Shogun 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Houston AlexanderDec 5, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 10 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Seth PetruzelliOct 4, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 0:14
EliteXC - Heat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 3-3 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Kevin Ferguson Jr.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28