// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Luan Chagas
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Luan
Chagas

NICKNAME"Tarzan"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-3-1
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Luan Chagas
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
6'3"
AGE
33
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
19 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
3
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
79%
15/19 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-2-1
W-LWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 60% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.16
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
47%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.19
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.32
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
12%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
85%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#81
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1505
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
36th
percentile · average opponent rated 1542 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
42nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.02 per fight)

5 rated fights · opponents rated in 26% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 21, 2018 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 9
6
KO/TKO
40%
9
SUB
60%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
2
SUB
67%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 6 fights
40%
SUBANY ROUND · 9 fights
60%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
19 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER57TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING60CHIN82STRIKING56CARDIO70AGGRESSION30SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE71RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power57
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (85%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=19 bouts
Striking56
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio70
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression30
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense71
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (62%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (85%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record19 bouts
Striking56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense71 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2012WJUL 2012WSEP 2012WDEC 2012WFEB 2013WMAR 2013LAPR 2013WJUN 2013WAUG 2013WNOV 2013WAUG 2014WDEC 2014WMAR 2015WJUL 2015WSEP 2015WDEC 2015MAY 2016LSEP 2016WJUN 2017LAPR 2018// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 76, SUB R1.
  5. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  7. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 89, SUB R2.
  8. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  9. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  10. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  13. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  15. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 100.
  18. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  19. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  20. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Oliveira), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/19 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
22%
2
11%
1
6%
-
-
7
total
SUB
6
33%
4
22%
1
6%
-
-
11
total
DEC
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
0%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
19 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
KO/TKOR2 · 2:40
UFC Fight Night 128 - Barboza vs. Lee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Front Kick to the Body and Punch)
W
VS Jim WallheadJun 3, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 4:48
UFC 212 - Aldo vs. Holloway
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Erick SilvaSep 24, 2016
SubmissionR3 · 3:57
UFC Fight Night 95 - Cyborg vs. Lansberg
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
D
VS Sergio MoraesMay 14, 2016
DrawR3 · 5:00
UFC 198 - Werdum vs. Miocic
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Split)
W
VS Eduardo GarvonDec 13, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 4:15
Imortal FC 2 - Kamikaze
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
KO/TKOR2 · 0:00
Frontline Fight Series 1 - Vina vs. Junior Abedi
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
W
VS Julio Cesar AndradeJul 4, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 1:27
Max Fight 15 - Ilha Comprida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Julio Cesar BilikMar 7, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 4:22
CFP 3 - Curitiba Fight Pro 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Christian FerreiraDec 13, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 1:59
PFE - Power Fight Extreme 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Allan SimonAug 9, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 2:16
CFP 2 - Curitiba Fight Pro 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Roberto OrdzaNov 30, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:42
Samurai FC / PFE - Samurai Fight Combat / Power Fight Extreme 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Silas Robson de OliveiraAug 10, 2013
KO/TKOR3 · 0:00
WOCS - Watch Out Combat Show 28
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches and Knees)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 15-3-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28