// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Lucas Alexander
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFEATHERWEIGHT

Lucas
Alexander

NICKNAME"The Lion"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-5-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Lucas Alexander
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
29
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
15 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
10/15 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 3-2
WLLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
STRIKER

Striker fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.69
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
57%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.87
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
57%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 114 other rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#97
of 115 on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1496
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
10th
percentile · average opponent rated 1504 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
13th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.19 per fight)

6 rated fights · opponents rated in 46% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 1, 2025 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 5
DEC · 5
5
KO/TKO
50%
0
SUB
0%
5
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
2
KO/TKO
40%
3
SUB
60%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
50%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
15 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER71TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING0CHIN72STRIKING76CARDIO67AGGRESSION35SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE60RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Striking. Lowest scored axis: Grappling.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power71
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling0
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin72
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=15 bouts
Striking76
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio67
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression35
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (57%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling0 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record15 bouts
Striking76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression35 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (57%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2016WJUL 2016WMAR 2017LDEC 2017LMAY 2018WMAY 2019WAUG 2019WDEC 2020WJUN 2021WFEB 2022LOCT 2022WMAR 2023LNOV 2023LFEB 2025WFEB 2026WMAY 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  4. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 52, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2018, momentum score 45, SUB R1.
  6. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  8. Start, DEC 2020, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R3.
  9. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, OCT 2022, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  12. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  13. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, FEB 2025, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, FEB 2026, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, MAY 2026, momentum score 89, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 89 (W vs Scott), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 89.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
15/15 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
13%
4
27%
1
7%
-
-
7
total
SUB
3
20%
-
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
5
33%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 15 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
33%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
15 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Jeremiah ScottMay 2, 2026
KO/TKOR2 · 1:19
CN - Combat Night: Jacksonville
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Body Kick and Elbows)
W
VS Andres CorderoFeb 14, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 0:34
CN - Combat Night: Tallahassee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
L
VS Bogdan GradFeb 1, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 4:22
UFC Fight Night 250 - Adesanya vs. Imavov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
L
VS Jeka SaragihNov 18, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 1:31
UFC Fight Night 232 - Allen vs. Craig
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Steven PetersonMar 25, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 43 - Vera vs. Sandhagen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
SubmissionR1 · 2:02
UFC Fight Night 212 - Grasso vs. Araujo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jacob KilburnFeb 11, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 1:51
Anthony Pettis FC 1 - Alexander vs. Kilburn
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Arm Injury)
W
VS Ty JohnsonJun 5, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 0:38
CN - Combat Night: Pro 22
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Reginald MackDec 12, 2020
KO/TKOR3 · 0:40
CN - Combat Night: Pro 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Carlos GuerraAug 2, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Square Ring Promotions - Island Fights 58
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jeremias FernandezMay 9, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Square Ring Promotions - Island Fights 56
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Matheus Pereira MoraisMay 5, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 1:15
Spartanos Fight MMA 1 - Conterraneo vs Ribeiro
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 10-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28