// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Luke Caudillo
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Luke
Caudillo

NICKNAME"Lil' Hulk"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
17-17-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Luke Caudillo
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'7"
AGE
45
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
34 BOUTS
WIN
17
LOSS
17
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
50%
17/34 bouts
FINISH RATE
76%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
LWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 71% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.97
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
28%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
5.07
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.44
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
20%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
85%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#112
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1365
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1473 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
7th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.35 per fight)

14 rated fights · opponents rated in 44% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 5, 2010 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (17)
n = 17
KO/TKO · 12
SUB · 1
DEC · 4
12
KO/TKO
71%
1
SUB
6%
4
DEC
24%
// LOSSES (17)
n = 17
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 10
DEC · 4
3
KO/TKO
18%
10
SUB
59%
4
DEC
24%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
76% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 12 fights
71%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
6%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
24%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
34 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING40CHIN77STRIKING20CARDIO68AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE56RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=17 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (85%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin77
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=34 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=17 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins17 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (85%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record34 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.17 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JAN 2003LJAN 2003WAPR 2003LJUN 2003WJUL 2003WOCT 2003LNOV 2003LMAR 2004LMAY 2004WMAY 2004WSEP 2004WOCT 2004LFEB 2005WAPR 2005WJUL 2005WOCT 2005LDEC 2005LFEB 2006WMAR 2006WMAY 2006LSEP 2006WNOV 2006WFEB 2007WFEB 2007WAPR 2007LJUN 2007LNOV 2007LJUN 2008LOCT 2008LAPR 2009LDEC 2009WFEB 2010LMAR 2010WMAY 2011LJUN 2012// SCORE

  1. Start, JAN 2003, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JAN 2003, momentum score 38, SUB R1.
  3. Start, APR 2003, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2003, momentum score 42, SUB R2.
  5. Start, JUL 2003, momentum score 52, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2003, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  7. Start, NOV 2003, momentum score 52, KO/TKO R3.
  8. Start, MAR 2004, momentum score 45, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2004, momentum score 38, SUB R2.
  10. Start, MAY 2004, momentum score 45, DEC R2.
  11. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2004, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R3.
  13. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  14. Start, APR 2005, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  17. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  18. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 70, SUB R1.
  19. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 83, SUB R2.
  22. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  27. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  28. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 76, SUB R3.
  29. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  30. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 62, SUB R2.
  31. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 55, DEC R3.
  32. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  33. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R2.
  34. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R2.
  35. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 60, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Guillet), bottomed at 38 (L vs Larson). Current reading: 60.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
34/34 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
24%
5
15%
2
6%
-
-
15
total
SUB
6
18%
4
12%
1
3%
-
-
11
total
DEC
-
1
3%
7
21%
-
-
8
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 13 of 34 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
24%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
34 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Thierry QuennevilleJun 29, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Instinct MMA - Instinct Fighting 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Steve GranieriMay 14, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 1:04
FTW - Outlaws
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee)
L
VS Sean WilsonMar 5, 2010
KO/TKOR2 · 1:15
ROF 37 - Warlords
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jordan EggliFeb 13, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 3:23
Midwest Championship Fighting - Perdition
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Punches)
L
VS Gideon RayDec 10, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Raw Power - MMA
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Josh ArochoApr 11, 2009
SubmissionR2 · 3:27
ROF 34 - Judgment Day
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Billy EvangelistaOct 3, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Strikeforce - Payback
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Torrance TaylorJun 13, 2008
SubmissionR3 · 3:10
ROF 32 - Respect
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Marcus AurelioNov 17, 2007
KO/TKOR1 · 4:29
UFC 78 - Validation
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Nate MohrJun 12, 2007
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 10 - Stout vs. Fisher 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Dennis DavisApr 28, 2007
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ROF 29 - Aftershock
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Justin GravesFeb 24, 2007
KO/TKOR1 · 3:49
Midwest Championship Fighting - Notorious
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 17-17. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28