// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Magomed Mustafaev
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Magomed
Mustafaev

NICKNAME"The Sniper"·RUSSIA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-3-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Jackson-Wink MMA Academy
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Magomed Mustafaev
FIGHTER -
RUS🇷🇺
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
38
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
17 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
82%
14/17 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 71% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.59
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.68
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
41%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.31
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
23%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#60
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1545
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
35th
percentile · average opponent rated 1534 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
40th
percentile · matched what opponents' ratings predicted (0.00 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 41% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 23, 2020 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 10
SUB · 4
10
KO/TKO
71%
4
SUB
29%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
SUB · 2
DEC · 1
0
KO/TKO
0%
2
SUB
67%
1
DEC
33%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 10 fights
71%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
29%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
17 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 12, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING56CARDIO57AGGRESSION36SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE24RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (23%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=17 bouts
Striking56
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio57
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression36
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense24
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (41%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (23%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record17 bouts
Striking56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense24 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (41%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100APR 2011WAPR 2011LJUL 2011WMAR 2012WJAN 2013WJAN 2013WSEP 2013WSEP 2013WNOV 2013WDEC 2013WMAR 2014WSEP 2014WSEP 2014WJUN 2015WDEC 2015LNOV 2016WAPR 2019LFEB 2020// SCORE

  1. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 49, SUB R2.
  4. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 78, SUB R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 98, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  11. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  17. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 93, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Omarov), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
17/17 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
7
41%
3
18%
-
-
-
10
total
SUB
2
12%
4
24%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
1
6%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 17 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
6%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Jackson-Wink MMA Academy
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVY

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
17 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Brad RiddellFeb 23, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 168 - Felder vs. Hooker
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Rafael FizievApr 20, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 1:26
UFC Fight Night 149 - Overeem vs. Oleynik
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches)
L
VS Kevin LeeNov 19, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 4:31
UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Joe ProctorDec 12, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 1:54
UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees and Punches)
W
VS Piotr HallmannJun 20, 2015
KO/TKOR2 · 3:24
UFC Fight Night 69 - Jedrzejczyk vs. Penne
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Abubakar NurmagomedovSep 1, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 4:11
Sochi Star Club - Sochi Star Tournament 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Amirkhan AdaevSep 1, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 1:38
Sochi Star Club - Sochi Star Tournament 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Slam)
W
VS Andrei KoshkinMar 14, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 0:39
M-1 Global - M-1 Challenge 46
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Heel Hook)
W
VS Lom-Ali NalgievDec 26, 2013
SubmissionR2 · 2:45
LF - Legion Fight 18
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Choke)
W
VS Guseyn OmarovNov 28, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 1:39
LF - Legion Fight 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Islam BegidovSep 15, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 1:55
LF - Legion Fight 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Artem EgorovSep 15, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:55
LF - Legion Fight 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 14-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Magomed Mustafaev

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28