// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Marcio Alexandre Jr.
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Marcio Alexandre
Jr.

NICKNAME"Lyoto"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-5-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Marcio Alexandre Jr.
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
AGE
37
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
21 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
76%
16/21 bouts
FINISH RATE
88%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 3-2
LWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 56% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.30
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.62
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#85
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1476
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
8th
percentile · average opponent rated 1504 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.18 per fight)

8 rated fights · opponents rated in 40% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 19, 2019 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 5
DEC · 2
9
KO/TKO
56%
5
SUB
31%
2
DEC
13%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
20%
2
SUB
40%
2
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
88% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
56%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
31%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
13%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
21 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 13, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER80TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING60CHIN82STRIKING56CARDIO55AGGRESSION28SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power80
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=21 bouts
Striking56
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio55
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression28
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record21 bouts
Striking56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio55 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression28 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2012WMAR 2012WJUN 2012WDEC 2012WJAN 2013WFEB 2013WFEB 2013WAPR 2013WJUL 2013WAUG 2013WSEP 2013LMAY 2014LDEC 2014LDEC 2015WJUL 2016WNOV 2016WMAR 2017LAUG 2017WAPR 2018WAUG 2018LAPR 2019WJUL 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 64, SUB R1.
  4. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  13. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  14. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  15. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 89, SUB R2.
  16. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  19. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, AUG 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  21. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  22. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Santos), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
21/21 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
7
33%
2
10%
1
5%
-
-
10
total
SUB
5
24%
1
5%
1
5%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
4
19%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 21 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
19%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
21 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Olaelcio MaiaJul 13, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 2:46
SJSF - Sao Jose Super Fight 2019
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Wellington TurmanApr 19, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 3:10
Future FC 4 - Lyoto vs. Turman
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Leonardo SilvaAug 11, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 1:52
Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series Brazil - Season 1, Episode 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Arymarcel SantosApr 21, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 2:49
Sao Jose Super Fight Qualifying - SJSF
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Fabio AguiarAug 12, 2017
KO/TKOR3 · 3:03
Aspera FC 55 - Aspera Fighting Championship 55
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Huinderton BarbosaNov 19, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AFC - Aspera Fighting Championship 48
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Brendson RibeiroJul 9, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 1:28
AFC 41 - Road to KSW
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
L
VS Court McGeeDec 12, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 194 - Aldo vs. McGregor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Tim MeansDec 20, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 58 - Machida vs. Dollaway
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Warlley AlvesMay 31, 2014
SubmissionR3 · 0:25
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Douglas Penning PilatiSep 28, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 4:41
Sombrio Champion Fight - Grenade MMA Edition
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 16-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Marcio Alexandre Jr.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Marcio Alexandre Jr.Upcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28