// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Mario Bautista
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNRANKED #4STOCK +3BANTAMWEIGHT

Mario
Bautista

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-3-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
The MMA Lab
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Mario Bautista
FIGHTER 004
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
33
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
21 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
86%
18/21 bouts
FINISH RATE
56%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 4-1
WWLWW
Form trend +3 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
5.30
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
49%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.98
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.91
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
2%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
56%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.85
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 102 other rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#4
of 103 on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1673
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
87th
percentile · average opponent rated 1608 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
83rd
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.36 per fight)

17 rated fights · opponents rated in 81% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUL 11, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 7
DEC · 8
3
KO/TKO
17%
7
SUB
39%
8
DEC
44%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
33%
1
SUB
33%
1
DEC
33%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
56% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
17%
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
39%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
44%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
21 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER24TD DEFENSE36GRAPPLING60CHIN82STRIKING70CARDIO71AGGRESSION66SUB THREAT43STR DEFENSE56RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power24
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense36
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (56%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=21 bouts
Striking70
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio71
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression66
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat43
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.85 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power24 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense36 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record21 bouts
Striking70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat43 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.85 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2017WMAY 2017WAUG 2017WSEP 2017WJAN 2018WJUN 2018WOCT 2018LJAN 2019WJUL 2019WFEB 2020LMAR 2021WFEB 2022WJUN 2022WNOV 2022WMAR 2023WAUG 2023WJAN 2024WOCT 2024WJUN 2025LOCT 2025WFEB 2026WJUL 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 84, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 94, SUB R2.
  7. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JUL 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, NOV 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, AUG 2023, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, JAN 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JUN 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  21. Start, FEB 2026, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  22. Start, JUL 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Gonzalez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
21/21 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
5%
3
14%
-
-
-
4
total
SUB
5
24%
3
14%
-
-
-
8
total
DEC
-
-
9
43%
-
-
9
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 21 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
43%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
The MMA Lab
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
STRIKING-FIRST

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
21 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Cory SandhagenJul 11, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 329 - McGregor vs. Holloway 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Unanimous
W
SubmissionR2 · 4:46
UFC Fight Night 266 - Bautista vs. Oliveira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 321 - Aspinall vs. Gane
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Patrick MixJun 7, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 316 - Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jose AldoOct 5, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 307 - Pereira vs. Rountree
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Ricky SimonJan 13, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 234 - Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 292 - Sterling vs. O'Malley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Guido CannettiMar 11, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 3:18
UFC Fight Night 221 - Yan vs. Dvalishvili
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Benito LopezNov 5, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 4:54
UFC Fight Night 214 - Rodriguez vs. Lemos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Reverse Triangle Armbar)
W
VS Brian KelleherJun 25, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:27
UFC on ESPN 38 - Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jay PerrinFeb 19, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 201 - Walker vs. Hill
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Trevin JonesMar 6, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 0:40
UFC 259 - Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 18-3. Ranked #4 by the UFC.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28