// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Mats Nilsson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Mats
Nilsson

NICKNAME"N/A"·SWEDEN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-4-1
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Mats Nilsson
FIGHTER -
SWE🇸🇪
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
AGE
42
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
16 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
4
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
69%
11/16 bouts
FINISH RATE
64%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
LWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with grappling at the core — 45% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.99
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
39%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
5.62
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.87
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
83%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
44%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
2.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#75
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1517
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
29th
percentile · average opponent rated 1533 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.14 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 44% of recorded fights · last rated fight JAN 3, 2015 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 5
DEC · 4
2
KO/TKO
18%
5
SUB
45%
4
DEC
36%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
25%
0
SUB
0%
3
DEC
75%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
64% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
18%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
45%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
36%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
16 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER26TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING95CHIN81STRIKING33CARDIO70AGGRESSION48SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE73RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power26
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (44%)

Grappling95
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin81
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=16 bouts
Striking33
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio70
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression48
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (2.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense73
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (63%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power26 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (44%)Not recorded
Grappling95 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record16 bouts
Striking33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (2.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense73 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2008WMAY 2008WAPR 2009WAUG 2009NOV 2009WMAY 2010LSEP 2010WNOV 2010WFEB 2011WAPR 2011WFEB 2012WMAR 2012LMAY 2012WAPR 2013WSEP 2013LMAR 2014LJAN 2015// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  4. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  5. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 69.
  6. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 78, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 71, DEC R3.
  8. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  10. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 97, SUB R1.
  11. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 83, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Speer), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 83.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
15/16 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
7%
2
13%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
4
27%
1
7%
-
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
7
47%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 15 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
44%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
16 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Omari AkhmedovJan 3, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 182 - Jones vs. Cormier
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Luke BarnattMar 8, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 3:24
UFC Fight Night 37 - Gustafsson vs. Manuwa
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Denniston SutherlandSep 14, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 2:40
CWFC 59 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 59
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Chris ScottApr 13, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CWFC 53 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 53
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Tor TroengMay 6, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
The Zone FC 10 - Demolition
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Alavutdin GadjievMar 24, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 0:24
SHC 5 - Llorent vs. Reljic
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Tom SpeerFeb 11, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 4:17
CWFC - Fight Night 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Nikos SokolisApr 30, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 1:41
SHC 4 - Monson vs. Perak
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Gregor HerbFeb 26, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
The Zone FC 8 - Inferno
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ivan GluhakNov 27, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 1:00
The Zone FC 7 - Warriors
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Timo SuhonenSep 18, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Cage - Challenger
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mikko KoivumakiMay 8, 2010
KO/TKOR2 · 2:59
Cage 13 - Spring Break
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 11-4-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28