// Roster Index›Unknown›Dossier · Matt Turnbull
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNUNKNOWN

Matt
Turnbull

NICKNAME"N/A"
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
FIGHTER -
PHOTO NOT AVAILABLE
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'7"
WEIGHT
Unknown
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
17 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
59%
10/17 bouts
FINISH RATE
70%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 60% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 0.00
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 0%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
0.00
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 0.00
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Striking Defense
Reference value 0%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 0.00
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 0%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 0%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.00
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 706 rated fighters on the UFC men's roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#696
against the 706 rated on the UFC men's roster · Elo 1455
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
13th
percentile · average opponent rated 1510 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
35th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.05 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 63% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 1, 2025

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 6
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
10%
6
SUB
60%
3
DEC
30%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 4
1
KO/TKO
14%
2
SUB
29%
4
DEC
57%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
70% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
10%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
60%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
30%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
2 OBSERVED5 DERIVED3 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
17 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint7 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN81STRIKINGN/ACARDIO69AGGRESSIONN/ASUB THREAT20STR DEFENSEN/ARECOVERY71
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
7 SCORED · 3 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin81
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=17 bouts
StrikingN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking volume and accuracy

Cardio69
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

AggressionN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str DefenseN/A
NOT ON FILE

Needs striking defense or absorption rate

Recovery71
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record17 bouts
StrikingUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
AggressionUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str DefenseUnknownNOT ON FILENeeds striking defense or absorption rateNot recorded
Recovery71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2018LMAR 2018WOCT 2018LFEB 2019WSEP 2019LOCT 2020LMAY 2021WOCT 2021WAPR 2022WJUL 2022WJUN 2023LSEP 2023LMAR 2024WOCT 2024WDEC 2024WJUN 2025LAUG 2025WMAR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 38, DEC R3.
  3. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 42, DEC R3.
  5. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 49, DEC R3.
  6. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 42, DEC R3.
  7. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 35, SUB R2.
  8. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 42, DEC R3.
  9. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 51, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 61, SUB R2.
  11. Start, JUN 2023, momentum score 71, SUB R1.
  12. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 64, SUB R2.
  13. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 57, DEC R3.
  14. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  15. Start, DEC 2024, momentum score 74, DEC R3.
  16. Start, JUN 2025, momentum score 83, SUB R2.
  17. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 83, SUB R3.

Peaked at 83 (W vs Caldone), bottomed at 35 (L vs Escareno). Current reading: 83.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
17/17 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
12%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
3
18%
4
24%
1
6%
-
-
8
total
DEC
-
-
7
41%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 17 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
41%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
17 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Ryan YapsamMar 28, 2026
SubmissionR3 · 1:37
AOW 46 - Art of War Cage Fighting 46
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Tom PagliaruloAug 1, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 4:36
Professional Fighters League - 2025 PFL World Tournament 8: Finals
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee to the Body and Punches)
W
VS John CaldoneJun 14, 2025
SubmissionR2 · 3:05
AOW 42 - Art of War Cage Fighting 42
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Anaconda Choke)
W
VS Cristian LopezDec 14, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AOW 39 - Art of War Cage Fighting 39
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Taylor PierceOct 4, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 4:20
AOW 37 - Art of War Cage Fighting 37
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Shawn StefanelliMar 23, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AOW 34 - Art of War Cage Fighting 34
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Ryan CafaroSep 15, 2023
SubmissionR2 · 4:24
AOW 31 - Art of War Cage Fighting 31
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Ahsan AbdullahJun 23, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 4:57
AOW 30 - Art of War Cage Fighting 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Chaka WorthyJul 16, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 1:00
AOW 25 - Art of War Cage Fighting 25
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Federico VentoApr 2, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:30
AOW 23 - Art of War Cage Fighting 23
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Eddie AlvarezOct 30, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AOW 20 - Art of War Cage Fighting 20: Mischief Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Efren EscarenoMay 29, 2021
SubmissionR2 · 2:15
CFFC 97 - Cage Fury Fighting Championships 97: Reed vs. Rose
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Unknown. Professional record 10-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28