// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Matt Van Buren
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Matt Van
Buren

NICKNAME"Gutter"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
7-6-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Matt Van Buren
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'5"
AGE
40
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
7
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
54%
7/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
57%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 1-4
LLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 43% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.36
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
41%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.45
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.64
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
28%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#48
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1489
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
27th
percentile · average opponent rated 1513 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
7th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.23 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 83% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 3, 2016

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
29%
2
SUB
29%
3
DEC
43%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
4
KO/TKO
67%
1
SUB
17%
1
DEC
17%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
57% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
29%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
29%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
43%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER41TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING40CHIN51STRIKING49CARDIO61AGGRESSION37SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE62RECOVERY40
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Str Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power41
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=7 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin51
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression37
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (58%)

Recovery40
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power41 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins7 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression37 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Recovery40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2010WMAY 2010WOCT 2010WMAY 2011WOCT 2011WNOV 2011LAUG 2012LNOV 2012WJUL 2013LJUL 2014LJAN 2015WFEB 2016LJUN 2016LMAY 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 70, DEC R3.
  5. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  10. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R3.
  12. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 72, SUB R2.
  13. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 55, DEC R3.

Peaked at 88 (W vs Levesque), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 55.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
13/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
31%
1
8%
1
8%
-
-
6
total
SUB
2
15%
1
8%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
4
31%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 13 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
31%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Todd StouteMay 27, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BTC 1 - Genesis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 0:14
FFC 24 - Villefort vs. Rela
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Derrick WeaverFeb 4, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 3:38
Elite Warrior Challenge 9 - Takeover
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
L
VS Sean O'ConnellJan 18, 2015
KO/TKOR3 · 2:11
UFC Fight Night 59 - McGregor vs. Siver
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 1:01
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 19 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Gladiators of the Cage - The North Shore's Rise to Power 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Terry DavinneyNov 30, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 0:15
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 82
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Mike MucitelliAug 24, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 3:01
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 73
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Shawn LevesqueNov 12, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 4:38
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 57
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Nick NicholsOct 1, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 2:29
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 52
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Brandon SalingMay 28, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FNITC - Fight Night in the Cage 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Aaron JohnsonOct 23, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 0:00
Black and Blue Entertainment - Rebel Invasion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 7-6. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28