// Roster Index›Women's Bantamweight›Dossier · Melissa Croden
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNRANKED #15STOCK +16WOMEN'S BANTAMWEIGHT

Melissa
Croden

NICKNAME"Scare"·CANADA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
8-3-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Alavanca
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Melissa Croden
FIGHTER 015
CAN🇨🇦
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'8"
AGE
35
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Women's Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
11 BOUTS
WIN
8
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
73%
8/11 bouts
FINISH RATE
88%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
Form trend +16 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 75% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.07
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 3.37
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 44%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.17
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 3.51
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.13
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 0.80
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 31%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
68%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 53%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.20
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 28 other rated fighters on the UFC women's bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#24
of 29 on the UFC women's bantamweight roster · Elo 1512
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
14th
percentile · average opponent rated 1510 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
36th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.01 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 75% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 17, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
6
KO/TKO
75%
1
SUB
13%
1
DEC
13%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
SUB · 1
DEC · 3
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
33%
3
DEC
100%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
88% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 6 fights
75%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
13%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
13%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE62GRAPPLING40CHIN88STRIKING53CARDIO80AGGRESSION48SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=8 wins
TD Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (68%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=11 bouts
Striking53
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio80
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression48
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins8 wins
TD Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (68%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record11 bouts
Striking53 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2019WSEP 2019WJAN 2020LFEB 2021WJAN 2022WAUG 2022LAPR 2023WOCT 2023WOCT 2024WOCT 2025LDEC 2025WAPR 2026LOCT 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R3.
  3. Start, JAN 2020, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 56, DEC R3.
  5. Start, JAN 2022, momentum score 66, SUB R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 75, KO/TKO R3.
  7. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 68, DEC R5.
  8. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R3.
  9. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2025, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  12. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  13. Start, OCT 2026, momentum score 88, SUB R1.

Peaked at 95 (W vs Lisboa), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 88.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
-
2
17%
4
33%
-
-
6
total
SUB
2
17%
-
-
-
-
2
total
DEC
-
-
3
25%
-
1
8%
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
33%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Alavanca
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
SubmissionR1 · 4:52
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
mission
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 273 - Burns vs. Malott
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Luana SantosDec 13, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 73 - Royval vs. Kape
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Tainara LisboaOct 18, 2025
KO/TKOR3 · 4:32
UFC Fight Night 262 - De Ridder vs. Allen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Ashley DeenOct 25, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 0:22
LFA 195 - Wetzell vs. Usmonov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees and Elbows)
W
KO/TKOR3 · 3:20
LFA 169 - Ward vs. Walker
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
DecisionR5 · 5:00
LFA 157 - Croden vs. Cavalcanti
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Cornelia HolmAug 27, 2022
KO/TKOR3 · 3:22
PAWFC - Pallas Athena Women's Fighting Championship 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jackie MacLeanJan 15, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 3:59
PAWFC - Pallas Athena Women's Fighting Championship 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Evelyn MartinsFeb 12, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Titan FC 67 - Sabatello vs. Blackshear
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Elizabeth SchroderJan 25, 2020
KO/TKOR2 · 2:30
Z Promotions - Fight Night 12: Lethbridge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jolinne MaisonnueveSep 28, 2019
KO/TKOR3 · 1:37
Z Promotions - Fight Night 11: Lethbridge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Women's Bantamweight. Professional record 8-3. Ranked #15 by the UFC.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27