// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Mike Estus
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Mike
Estus

NICKNAME"The Real Pretty Boy"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
7-5-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Mike Estus
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
AGE
43
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
12 BOUTS
WIN
7
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
58%
7/12 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 100% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.85
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.71
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#100
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1450
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
2nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1487 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
2nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.30 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 58% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 24, 2016

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (7)
n = 7
SUB · 7
0
KO/TKO
0%
7
SUB
100%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
2
KO/TKO
40%
3
SUB
60%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
100%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 14, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN68STRIKING49CARDIO44AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY25
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=7 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=12 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio44
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery25
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins7 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record12 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio44 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2011WAUG 2011WMAY 2012WAUG 2012WSEP 2012WDEC 2012WMAR 2013LOCT 2013LMAR 2014WJUL 2015LSEP 2015LFEB 2016LJUN 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 55, SUB R2.
  3. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 84, SUB R2.
  6. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 94, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  13. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Hird), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 69.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
17%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
7
58%
3
25%
-
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
0%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Steven MannJun 24, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 0:25
Bellator 157 - Dynamite 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees)
L
VS Jeremiah DeeverFeb 19, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 4:45
VFC - Victory Fighting Championship 48
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Bobby VoelkerSep 26, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 1:27
Shamrock FC - Clash
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Kevin TjadenJul 11, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 0:17
IC - Iowa Challenge 117
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
L
VS Gavin SterrittMar 28, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 3:29
Bellator MMA - Bellator 114
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Brandon GirtzOct 18, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 4:25
Bellator MMA - Bellator 104
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Anthony HirdMar 23, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 0:13
IC - Iowa Challenge 81
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
W
VS Kenneth AllenDec 1, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 2:27
IC - Iowa Challenge 75
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Neck Crank)
W
VS Norm WatersSep 2, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 1:03
IC - Iowa Challenge 70
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Kenny SchmitzAug 18, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 0:26
IC - Iowa Challenge 69
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Choke)
W
VS Danny BlackMay 19, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 1:02
IC - Iowa Challenge 68
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Choke)
W
VS Jon KennedyAug 13, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 2:27
IC - Iowa Challenge 64
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 7-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Mike Estus

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28