// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Nate Grebb
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Nate
Grebb

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
3-2-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Nate Grebb
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
5 BOUTS
WIN
3
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
60%
3/5 bouts
FINISH RATE
67%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 33% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.65
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.70
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#102
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1484
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
5th
percentile · average opponent rated 1502 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.50 per fight)

1 rated fight · opponents rated in 20% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 24, 2017 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
33%
1
SUB
33%
1
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
1
KO/TKO
50%
1
SUB
50%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
67% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 1 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
5 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 15, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING40CHIN64STRIKING46CARDIO49AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=3 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin64
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=5 bouts
Striking46
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio49
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins3 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record5 bouts
Striking46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100APR 2012WAPR 2012WOCT 2012LAPR 2013WOCT 2013LJUN 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  5. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  6. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 65 (W vs Martinez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 56.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
5/5 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
40%
-
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
1
20%
1
20%
-
-
-
2
total
DEC
-
-
1
20%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 5 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
20%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
5 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Bradley DesirJun 24, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 2:54
Bellator 180 - Sonnen vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Cody BakerOct 26, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
SF - Shogun Fights 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Christian LeonardApr 13, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 2:11
SF - Shogun Fights 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Rubin MartinezOct 20, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 3:09
SF - Shogun Fights 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Billy MillerApr 14, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 2:11
SF - Shogun Fights 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 3-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Nate Grebb

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28