// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Nick Newell
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Nick
Newell

NICKNAME"Notorious"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-4-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Nick Newell
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
AGE
40
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
20 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
80%
16/20 bouts
FINISH RATE
81%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
LWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 69% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.53
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.07
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
36%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
33%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#99
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1486
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
18th
percentile · average opponent rated 1520 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
17th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.21 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 45% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 11, 2021 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 11
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
13%
11
SUB
69%
3
DEC
19%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
25%
0
SUB
0%
3
DEC
75%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
81% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
13%
SUBANY ROUND · 11 fights
69%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
19%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
20 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 16, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN82STRIKING48CARDIO56AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE20RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (33%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=20 bouts
Striking48
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio56
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (36%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (33%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record20 bouts
Striking48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (36%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2009WJUN 2009WDEC 2009WMAR 2010WJAN 2011WJUN 2011WDEC 2011WAPR 2012WAUG 2012WDEC 2012WAUG 2013WDEC 2013LJUL 2014WAPR 2015WOCT 2015WMAR 2018LJUL 2018WMAY 2019WAUG 2019LOCT 2019LJUN 2021// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 85, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  7. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  14. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  21. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 86, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Hernandez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 86.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
20/20 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
10%
1
5%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
11
55%
-
-
-
-
11
total
DEC
-
-
6
30%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 20 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
30%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
20 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Bobby KingJun 11, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 260 - Lima vs. Amosov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Luis MuroOct 26, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 232 - MacDonald vs. Lima 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Corey BrowningAug 24, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 3:15
Bellator 225 - Mitrione vs. Kharitonov 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Antonio Castillo Jr.May 31, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 2:06
CES MMA 56 - Boyington vs. Dubuque
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Alex MunozJul 24, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series - Season 2, Episode 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Sonny LuqueMar 9, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 2:10
LFA 35 - Newell vs. Luque
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Neck Crank)
W
VS Tom MarcellinoOct 17, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WSOF 24 - Fitch vs. Okami
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Joe CondonApr 10, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WSOF 20 - Branch vs. McElligott
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Justin GaethjeJul 5, 2014
KO/TKOR2 · 3:09
WSOF 11 - Gaethje vs. Newell
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Sabah FadaiDec 7, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:21
WSOF 7 - Karakhanyan vs. Palmer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Keon CaldwellAug 10, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 2:07
WSOF 4 - Spong vs. DeAnda
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Eric ReynoldsDec 7, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 1:22
XFC 21 - Night of Champions 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 16-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28