// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Nick Penner
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Nick
Penner

NICKNAME"The Quiet Assassin"·CANADA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-3-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Nick Penner
FIGHTER -
CAN🇨🇦
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'4"
AGE
46
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
14 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
79%
11/14 bouts
FINISH RATE
82%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 3-2
WWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 45% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.25
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
30%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.60
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
38%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#55
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1452
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
16th
percentile · average opponent rated 1503 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.46 per fight)

3 rated fights · opponents rated in 21% of recorded fights · last rated fight DEC 15, 2012 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 4
DEC · 2
5
KO/TKO
45%
4
SUB
36%
2
DEC
18%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 2
DEC · 1
2
KO/TKO
67%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
33%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
82% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
45%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
36%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
18%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
14 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER65TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN71STRIKING20CARDIO52AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE20RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power65
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (40%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin71
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=14 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio52
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (38%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (40%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record14 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (38%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2007WAUG 2007WDEC 2007WMAR 2008LAPR 2008WMAY 2008WOCT 2008WNOV 2008WDEC 2008WMAR 2009WDEC 2009WJUL 2011WSEP 2011LMAR 2012LDEC 2012// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  6. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 79, SUB R2.
  7. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R4.
  13. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Désautels), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 80.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
14/14 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
43%
-
-
1
7%
-
7
total
SUB
2
14%
2
14%
-
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
3
21%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 14 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
21%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
14 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Cody DonovanDec 15, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 4:35
UFC on FX 6 - Sotiropoulos vs. Pearson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 4:59
UFC on FX 2 - Alves vs. Kampmann
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches and Elbows)
W
VS Tim ChemelliSep 16, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
AMMA 8 - Unfinished Business
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jon GanshornJul 22, 2011
KO/TKOR4 · 1:50
BFN - Bully's Fight Night 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Ryan FortinDec 4, 2009
SubmissionR2 · 3:31
MFC 23 - Unstoppable
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Joe FonotiMar 20, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
TFC 6 - Domination
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Luc DésautelsDec 5, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 3:01
TFC 5 - Armageddon
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jim GeddesNov 14, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 1:24
KOTC - Face Off
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Dana SwanOct 10, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 0:30
TFC - Muay Thai Warriors
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear Naked Choke)
W
VS Jared KilkennyMay 31, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 4:13
TFC 3 - This Means War
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
L
VS Jimmy AmbrizApr 26, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Fighters Nation - Urban Conflict
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Bobby KalmakoffMar 7, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 1:26
TFC 2 - Feel the Pain
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 11-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28