// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Nik Lentz
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0LIGHTWEIGHT

Nik
Lentz

NICKNAME"The Carny"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
30-12-2
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Nik Lentz
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'8"
AGE
42
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
45 BOUTS
WIN
30
LOSS
12
DRAW
2
WIN RATE
68%
30/45 bouts
FINISH RATE
63%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
GRAPPLER

Grappler fighter with grappling at the core — 37% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.44
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
47%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.25
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.30
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
32%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
43%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#35
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1587
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
86th
percentile · average opponent rated 1597 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
20th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.16 per fight)

31 rated fights · opponents rated in 70% of recorded fights · last rated fight JAN 23, 2021

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (30)
n = 30
KO/TKO · 11
SUB · 8
DEC · 11
11
KO/TKO
37%
8
SUB
27%
11
DEC
37%
// LOSSES (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 2
DEC · 7
3
KO/TKO
25%
2
SUB
17%
7
DEC
58%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
63% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 11 fights
37%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
27%
DECFULL FIGHT · 11 fights
37%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
45 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER52TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING71CHIN80STRIKING49CARDIO67AGGRESSION50SUB THREAT60STR DEFENSE44RECOVERY73
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power52
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=30 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (43%)

Grappling71
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin80
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=44 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio67
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=45 bouts
Aggression50
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (50%)

Recovery73
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=12 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins30 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (43%)Not recorded
Grappling71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record44 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share45 bouts
Aggression50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Recovery73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.12 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2005WJUL 2005WAUG 2005WOCT 2005WDEC 2005WFEB 2006LAPR 2006WJUL 2006LAUG 2006WSEP 2006WSEP 2006WDEC 2006LMAR 2007WAUG 2007NOV 2007WFEB 2008WMAY 2008WSEP 2008WOCT 2008WMAR 2009WMAY 2009WSEP 2009JAN 2010WMAR 2010WAUG 2010WNOV 2010WMAR 2011JUN 2011LDEC 2011LJAN 2012WAUG 2012WJAN 2013WMAY 2013LDEC 2013WMAY 2014LMAY 2015WDEC 2015WSEP 2016LFEB 2017WNOV 2017LJUN 2018WOCT 2018WFEB 2019LMAY 2019LJAN 2020LJAN 2021// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 96, SUB R2.
  7. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  9. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 92, SUB R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 100.
  16. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  18. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 100.
  24. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  25. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  26. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  27. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  28. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 100.
  29. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  30. Start, JAN 2012, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  31. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  33. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  34. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  35. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  36. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  37. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  38. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  39. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  40. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  41. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  42. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  43. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  44. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  45. Start, JAN 2020, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  46. Start, JAN 2021, momentum score 79, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Vanier), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 79.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
42/45 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
24%
4
10%
-
-
-
14
total
SUB
5
12%
3
7%
2
5%
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
-
18
43%
-
-
18
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 14 of 42 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
40%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
45 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Movsar EvloevJan 23, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 257 - Poirier vs. McGregor 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Arnold AllenJan 25, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 166 - Blaydes vs. dos Santos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR2 · 2:11
UFC Fight Night 152 - Dos Anjos vs. Lee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Scott HoltzmanFeb 17, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 1 - Ngannou vs. Velasquez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Gray MaynardOct 6, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 1:19
UFC 229 - Nurmagomedov vs. McGregor
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
L
VS David TeymurJun 1, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 131 - Rivera vs. Moraes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Will BrooksNov 18, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 2:05
UFC Fight Night 121 - Werdum vs. Tybura
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Islam MakhachevFeb 11, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 208 - Holm vs. De Randamie
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Michael McBrideSep 10, 2016
KO/TKOR2 · 4:17
UFC 203 - Miocic vs. Overeem
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Danny CastilloDec 19, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fox 17 - Dos Anjos vs. Cerrone 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
SubmissionR3 · 1:10
UFC Fight Night 67 - Condit vs. Alves
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Manny GamburyanMay 10, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 40 - Brown vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 30-12-2 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28