// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Noah Gugnon
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Noah
Gugnon

NICKNAME"N/A"·FRANCE
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
9-2-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Bulgarian Top Team
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Noah Gugnon
FIGHTER -
FRA🇫🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
26
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
11 BOUTS
WIN
9
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
82%
9/11 bouts
FINISH RATE
100%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
FINISHER

Finisher fighter with elite knockout power — 67% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
6.86
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
5.90
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
56%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
66%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
2.90
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#108
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1469
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
5th
percentile · average opponent rated 1501 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.48 per fight)

2 rated fights · opponents rated in 17% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 24, 2026 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 3
6
KO/TKO
67%
3
SUB
33%
0
DEC
0%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 2
DEC · 1
2
KO/TKO
100%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
100% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 6 fights
67%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
12 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER95TD DEFENSE58GRAPPLING60CHIN66STRIKING90CARDIO62AGGRESSION71SUB THREAT100STR DEFENSE58RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Recovery.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power95
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=9 wins
TD Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (66%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin66
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=11 bouts
Striking90
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio62
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression71
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (2.9 per 15 min)

Str Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (56%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power95 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins9 wins
TD Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (66%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record11 bouts
Striking90 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (2.9 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (56%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2021WOCT 2021WAPR 2022WAPR 2023WJUN 2023LSEP 2023LFEB 2024WOCT 2024WDEC 2024WJUN 2025WOCT 2025WAPR 2026LOCT 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 55, SUB R2.
  3. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 75, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUN 2023, momentum score 84, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 70, DEC R3.
  8. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 80, SUB R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2024, momentum score 89, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, JUN 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, OCT 2026, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Harris), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 90.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/12 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
42%
3
25%
-
-
-
8
total
SUB
2
17%
1
8%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
1
8%
-
-
1
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 8 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
8%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Bulgarian Top Team
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
STRIKING-FIRSTSUB GRAPPLING

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
12 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Kody SteeleOct 24, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 1:06
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
W
VS Bruno Matos de SousaApr 3, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 3:08
Ares 39 - Jbalia vs. Diatta
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Adrian PrisceanuOct 18, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 3:33
Ares 35 - Baki vs. Zebo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Ioan HarrisJun 14, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 1:02
Ares 31 - Sola vs. Oudelha
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch and Elbows)
W
VS Nicolas Di FrancoDec 7, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 3:24
The King of Fighters 11 - KOF 11
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
W
VS Bruno NunesOct 3, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 4:20
Coliseum 1 - Coliseum Fighting Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Samvel VardanyanFeb 3, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FPC - Fight Parc Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mark EwenSep 23, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 3:51
Bellator 299 - Eblen vs. Edwards
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Dukwach KadimagomaevJun 10, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 2:02
Kingdom Fighting - Kingdom 1: Silva vs. El Ouassaidi
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS David HawkerApr 22, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 1:33
Bushido 88 - Bushido Fighting Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Sofiane BelaidApr 16, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 1:50
WFN 1 - Warrior Fight Night 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jessy ChateauneufOct 29, 2021
SubmissionR2 · 1:53
100% Fight 44 - 100% Fight Is Back
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 9-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28