// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Patrick Cenoble
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Patrick
Cenoble

NICKNAME"Lights Out"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
9-3-1
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Patrick Cenoble
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
AGE
36
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
13 BOUTS
WIN
9
LOSS
3
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
69%
9/13 bouts
FINISH RATE
89%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 1-3-1
LWL-L
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 89% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.95
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.63
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#82
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1510
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
9th
percentile · average opponent rated 1509 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
32nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.08 per fight)

6 rated fights · opponents rated in 46% of recorded fights · last rated fight NOV 22, 2013 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 8
DEC · 1
8
KO/TKO
89%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
11%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
89% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 8 fights
89%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
11%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
13 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 16, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING36CHIN79STRIKING53CARDIO64AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=9 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling36
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin79
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=13 bouts
Striking53
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio64
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins9 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record13 bouts
Striking53 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100APR 2009WAPR 2009WJUL 2009WNOV 2009WAPR 2010WJUL 2010WMAR 2011WJUL 2011WOCT 2011LDEC 2011WOCT 2012LJAN 2013MAR 2013LNOV 2013// SCORE

  1. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 63, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R2.
  6. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R3.
  7. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 99, DEC R3.
  8. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  10. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 93.
  14. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 86, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Burke), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 86.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
12/13 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
25%
4
33%
2
17%
-
-
9
total
SUB
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
DEC
-
-
3
25%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 12 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
23%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
13 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Terry EtimNov 22, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 109
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Tony FryklundMar 28, 2013
DrawR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 94
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Split)
L
VS Elvin Leon BritoJan 19, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CFA 9 - Night of Champions
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Michael TrujilloOct 6, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 3:44
CFA 8 - Araujo vs. Bradley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Yoislandy IzquierdoDec 17, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 2:54
CFA 4 - Izquierdo vs. Cenoble
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Trent McCownOct 9, 2011
KO/TKOR3 · 1:39
CFA 3 - Howard vs. Olson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jerrid BurkeJul 23, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 0:39
CFA 2 - McCorkle vs. Hayes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Paul BarrowMar 18, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RFC 23 - Breaking Point
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Travis CoxJul 23, 2010
KO/TKOR3 · 1:11
RFC 21 - New Blood
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Troy GerhartApr 3, 2010
KO/TKOR2 · 3:12
AOF 7 - Payday
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Joe RicartNov 13, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 0:09
RFC 19 - Revenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Theo IdleburgJul 24, 2009
KO/TKOR2 · 2:53
RFC 18 - Pride
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 9-3-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Patrick Cenoble

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Patrick CenobleUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28