// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Paulo Thiago
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Paulo
Thiago

NICKNAME"Caveira"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
19-11-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Paulo Thiago
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
45
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
30 BOUTS
WIN
19
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
63%
19/30 bouts
FINISH RATE
63%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 53% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.71
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
39%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.99
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.42
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
31%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#84
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1500
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
6th
percentile · average opponent rated 1498 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
16th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.17 per fight)

20 rated fights · opponents rated in 67% of recorded fights · last rated fight DEC 19, 2019

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (19)
n = 19
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 10
DEC · 7
2
KO/TKO
11%
10
SUB
53%
7
DEC
37%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 4
DEC · 7
4
KO/TKO
36%
0
SUB
0%
7
DEC
64%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
63% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
11%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
53%
DECFULL FIGHT · 7 fights
37%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
30 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING60CHIN72STRIKING25CARDIO75AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT60STR DEFENSE73RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=19 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin72
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=30 bouts
Striking25
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio75
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense73
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (63%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=11 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins19 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record30 bouts
Striking25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense73 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.11 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2005WJUL 2005WOCT 2006WOCT 2006WOCT 2006WMAY 2007WDEC 2007WAPR 2008WMAY 2008WJUL 2008WSEP 2008WFEB 2009LJUL 2009WNOV 2009WFEB 2010LJUN 2010LOCT 2010WAUG 2011LAPR 2012LNOV 2012WMAY 2013LNOV 2013LMAY 2014LSEP 2014LJUN 2016WAUG 2016WNOV 2016WAPR 2017LOCT 2017WDEC 2019LDEC 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 55, SUB R3.
  3. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 65, SUB R3.
  4. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 84, SUB R3.
  6. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 94, SUB R2.
  7. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  16. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  18. Start, AUG 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  21. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  22. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 66, DEC R3.
  24. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  25. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 52, DEC R5.
  26. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  27. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 69, SUB R3.
  28. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  29. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R2.
  30. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  31. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Bettega), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 69.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
30/30 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
17%
1
3%
-
-
-
6
total
SUB
4
13%
2
7%
4
13%
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
-
13
43%
-
1
3%
14
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 30 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
47%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
30 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Sam LieraDec 19, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 4:58
Smash Global 9 - Black Tie Fight Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Ailton BarbosaDec 13, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
GLFC 13 - Global Legion FC 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Michal MaterlaOct 22, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 0:50
KSW 40 - Dublin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Faycal HucinApr 28, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 3:11
F2N - Fight 2 Night 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Cheick KoneNov 4, 2016
SubmissionR3 · 4:16
F2N - Fight 2 Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Paulistenio RochaAug 13, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
TWC 3 - The Warriors Combat 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Markus PerezJun 25, 2016
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Thunder Fight 7 - Maluko vs. Thiago
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Sean SpencerSep 13, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 51 - Bigfoot vs. Arlovski 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Gasan UmalatovMay 31, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter Brazil 3 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Brandon ThatchNov 9, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 2:10
UFC Fight Night 32 - Belfort vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee to the Body)
W
VS Michel PrazeresMay 18, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on FX 8 - Belfort vs. Rockhold
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Dong Hyun KimNov 10, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on Fuel TV 6 - Franklin vs. Le
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 19-11. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Paulo Thiago

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28