// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Rafael Estevam
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0FLYWEIGHT

Rafael
Estevam

NICKNAME"Macapa"
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-1-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Rafael Estevam
FIGHTER -
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'9"
AGE
30
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
15 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
1
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
93%
14/15 bouts
FINISH RATE
50%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 50% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.10
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.59
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
47%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
6.01
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
38%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
66%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 102 other rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#52
of 103 on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1547
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
29th
percentile · average opponent rated 1530 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
67th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.15 per fight)

5 rated fights · opponents rated in 33% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 4, 2026 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 3
DEC · 7
4
KO/TKO
29%
3
SUB
21%
7
DEC
50%
// LOSSES (1)
n = 1
KO/TKO · 1
1
KO/TKO
100%
0
SUB
0%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
50% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
29%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
21%
DECFULL FIGHT · 7 fights
50%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED6 DERIVED1 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
15 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint9 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER41TD DEFENSE58GRAPPLING60CHIN80STRIKING46CARDIO77AGGRESSION57SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE38RECOVERYN/A
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
9 SCORED · 1 OPEN
KO Power41
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (66%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin80
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=15 bouts
Striking46
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio77
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression57
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense38
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (47%)

RecoveryN/A
NOT ON FILE

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=1 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power41 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (66%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record15 bouts
Striking46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense38 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (47%)Not recorded
RecoveryUnknownNOT ON FILEShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.1 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2015WJUN 2015WFEB 2016WAUG 2016WMAY 2017WOCT 2017WJAN 2018WJUN 2018WAPR 2019WSEP 2020WJUL 2021WSEP 2022WNOV 2023WFEB 2025WAUG 2025LAPR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 61, KO/TKO R3.
  4. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 71, SUB R2.
  5. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 81, SUB R2.
  6. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  7. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 98, SUB R2.
  8. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, JUL 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  13. Start, NOV 2023, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, FEB 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, AUG 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Matheus), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
15/15 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
7%
2
13%
2
13%
-
-
5
total
SUB
-
3
20%
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
7
47%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 15 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
47%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
15 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Ethyn EwingApr 4, 2026
KO/TKOR3 · 1:44
UFC Fight Night 272 - Moicano vs. Duncan
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch to the Body)
W
VS Felipe BunesAug 2, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 71 - Taira vs. Park
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jesus Santos AguilarFeb 15, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 251 - Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Charles JohnsonNov 18, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 232 - Allen vs. Craig
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Joao EliasSep 27, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 2:25
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2022: Week 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Filipe EstevesJul 18, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 2:19
LFA 112 - Welterweight Grand Prix
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Erick ViscondeSep 27, 2020
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Shooto Brazil 101 - Bad Face vs. Rodrigues
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Gabriel CastroApr 5, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 3:13
Shooto Brazil 91 - Batista vs. Galvao
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Luan MatheusJun 29, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Shooto Brazil 85 - Estevam vs. Da Cunha
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Danver dos Santos CruzJan 28, 2018
SubmissionR2 · 4:18
Shooto Brazil 80 - Alves vs. Benicio
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Matheus MaltaOct 7, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FA - Fatality Arena 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Gleidson MarquesMay 12, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 0:49
Shooto Brazil 72 - De Freitas vs. Nenzao
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 14-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28