// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Rafael Lovato Jr.
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0MIDDLEWEIGHT

Rafael Lovato
Jr.

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-0-0
CURRENT FORM
5W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Rafael Lovato Jr.
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'3"
AGE
43
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
11 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
0
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
100%
11/11 bouts
FINISH RATE
82%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS5W STREAK · 5-0
WWWWW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 64% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Sample size too small to draw a vulnerability profile.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.05
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.50
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
65%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#6
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1669
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
73rd
percentile · average opponent rated 1568 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
93rd
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.43 per fight)

11 rated fights · opponents rated in 100% of recorded fights · last rated fight DEC 28, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 7
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
18%
7
SUB
64%
2
DEC
18%
// LOSSES (0)
n = 0
NO DATA
0
KO/TKO
0%
0
SUB
0%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
82% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
18%
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
64%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
18%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED6 DERIVED1 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
11 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 16, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint9 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER26TD DEFENSE56GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING56CARDIO62AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE56RECOVERYN/A
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
9 SCORED · 1 OPEN
KO Power26
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (65%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=11 bouts
Striking56
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio62
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

RecoveryN/A
NOT ON FILE

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=0 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power26 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (65%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record11 bouts
Striking56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
RecoveryUnknownNOT ON FILEShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.0 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2014WSEP 2014WOCT 2015WAPR 2016WNOV 2016WMAR 2017WJUL 2017WDEC 2017WAPR 2018WSEP 2018WJUN 2019WDEC 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 83, SUB R3.
  6. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 94, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  9. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  11. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  12. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Rhodes), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
11/11 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
9%
1
9%
-
-
-
2
total
SUB
5
45%
-
2
18%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
1
9%
-
1
9%
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 11 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
18%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
11 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Taiga IwasakiDec 28, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:10
IGF - Inoki Bom-Ba-Ye x Ganryujima
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Gegard MousasiJun 22, 2019
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Bellator 223 - Mousasi vs. Lovato Jr.
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
W
VS John SalterSep 21, 2018
SubmissionR3 · 4:27
Bellator 205 - McKee vs. Macapa
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Gerald HarrisApr 28, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 1:11
Bellator 198 - Fedor vs. Mir
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Chris HoneycuttDec 1, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 189 - Budd vs. Blencowe 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mike RhodesJul 14, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 1:59
Bellator 181 - Campos vs. Girtz 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Charles HackmannMar 3, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 0:13
Bellator 174 - Coenen vs. Budd
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Kick, Knees and Punches)
W
VS Cortez ColemanNov 11, 2016
SubmissionR3 · 4:04
LFC 62 - Legacy Fighting Championship 62
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Marcelo NunesApr 20, 2016
KO/TKOR2 · 4:51
LFC 54 - Legacy Fighting Championship 54
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Kevin HollandOct 2, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 1:24
LFC 46 - Legacy Fighting Championship 46
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Canaan GrigsbySep 26, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 4:07
LFC 35 - Legacy Fighting Championship 35
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 11-0. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Rafael Lovato Jr.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28