// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Raul Rosas Jr.
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNRANKED #8STOCK +5BANTAMWEIGHT

Raul Rosas
Jr.

NICKNAME"El Nino Problema"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
13-1-0
CURRENT FORM
5W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Rosas Brothers MMA
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Raul Rosas Jr.
FIGHTER 008
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'7"
AGE
22
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
14 BOUTS
WIN
13
LOSS
1
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
93%
13/14 bouts
FINISH RATE
67%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS5W STREAK · 5-0
WWWWW
Form trend +5 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with no dominant single weapon — 46% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.12
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
43%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.17
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
47%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
5.02
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.70
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 102 other rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#21
of 103 on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1609
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
56th
percentile · average opponent rated 1551 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
87th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.40 per fight)

11 rated fights · opponents rated in 79% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 26, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (13)
n = 13
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 6
DEC · 4
3
KO/TKO
23%
6
SUB
46%
4
DEC
31%
// LOSSES (1)
n = 1
DEC · 1
0
KO/TKO
0%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
100%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
67% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
23%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
46%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
31%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
14 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER22TD DEFENSE29GRAPPLING69CHIN88STRIKING30CARDIO65AGGRESSION46SUB THREAT35STR DEFENSE38RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power22
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=13 wins
TD Defense29
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (53%)

Grappling69
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=14 bouts
Striking30
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio65
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression46
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat35
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)

Str Defense38
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (47%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=1 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power22 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins13 wins
TD Defense29 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Grappling69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record14 bouts
Striking30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat35 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense38 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (47%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.1 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2021WNOV 2021WMAR 2022WAPR 2022WMAY 2022WJUN 2022WSEP 2022WDEC 2022LAPR 2023WSEP 2023WJUN 2024WSEP 2024WMAR 2025WMAR 2026WSEP 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2021, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, APR 2022, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 84, SUB R2.
  6. Start, JUN 2022, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  10. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, SEP 2026, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R5.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Gutierrez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
14/14 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
14%
-
-
-
1
7%
3
total
SUB
4
29%
2
14%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
5
36%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 2 of 14 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
R5 finishes on record
// DECISION RATE
36%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Rosas Brothers MMA
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVY

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
14 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Raoni BarcelosSep 26, 2026
KO/TKOR5 · 1:38
UFC Fight Night 289 - Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Slam)
W
VS Rob FontMar 7, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 326 - Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Vince MoralesMar 29, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 64 - Moreno vs. Erceg
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Qileng AoriSep 14, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 306 - Noche UFC: O'Malley vs. Dvalishvili
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ricky TurciosJun 8, 2024
SubmissionR2 · 2:22
UFC on ESPN 57 - Cannonier vs. Imavov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 0:54
UFC Fight Night 227 - Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 287 - Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jay PerrinDec 10, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:44
UFC 282 - Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Face Crank)
W
VS Mando GutierrezSep 20, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Dana White's Contender Series - Contender Series 2022: Week 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Andres Sharon Portocarrero PinedaJun 24, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 2:11
UWC Mexico 35 - Luna vs. Campos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jose PenalozaMay 27, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 2:25
UWC Mexico 34 - Carvalho vs. Camilo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Francisco VillanuevaApr 29, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:07
UWC Mexico 33 - Sabori vs. Rodriguez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 13-1. Ranked #8 by the UFC.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28