// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Roan Carneiro
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Roan
Carneiro

NICKNAME"Jucao"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
21-13-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
American Top Team
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Roan Carneiro
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'4"
AGE
48
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
34 BOUTS
WIN
21
LOSS
13
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
62%
21/34 bouts
FINISH RATE
57%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter built around defensive grappling — 43% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.46
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.82
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.05
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
42%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
83%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#29
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1601
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
52nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1559 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
55th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.07 per fight)

21 rated fights · opponents rated in 66% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 11, 2017

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (21)
n = 21
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 9
DEC · 9
3
KO/TKO
14%
9
SUB
43%
9
DEC
43%
// LOSSES (13)
n = 13
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 3
DEC · 6
4
KO/TKO
31%
3
SUB
23%
6
DEC
46%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
57% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
14%
SUBANY ROUND · 9 fights
43%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
43%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
34 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE96GRAPPLING76CHIN74STRIKING35CARDIO71AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT70STR DEFENSE71RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=21 wins
TD Defense96
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (83%)

Grappling76
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin74
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=34 bouts
Striking35
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio71
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat70
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense71
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (62%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=13 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins21 wins
TD Defense96 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (83%)Not recorded
Grappling76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record34 bouts
Striking35 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat70 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense71 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.13 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2000LJUL 2000LJAN 2002WNOV 2002WMAY 2003WAUG 2003WAUG 2004WSEP 2004LFEB 2005WOCT 2005LMAR 2006WMAR 2006WMAR 2006WAUG 2006WNOV 2006LNOV 2006WAPR 2007LJUN 2007WDEC 2007LJUN 2008LSEP 2008WSEP 2009WOCT 2010LMAR 2011WMAR 2012WOCT 2013WOCT 2014WOCT 2014WOCT 2014WFEB 2015LFEB 2016WSEP 2016LFEB 2017LFEB 2018LJAN 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2000, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2000, momentum score 38, DEC R1.
  3. Start, JAN 2002, momentum score 28, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, NOV 2002, momentum score 39, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAY 2003, momentum score 49, SUB R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2003, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2004, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  8. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 78, SUB R1.
  11. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 75, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAR 2006, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  14. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  15. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  16. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  17. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 99, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 92, SUB R2.
  19. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  20. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  21. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  22. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  24. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  25. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  26. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  27. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  28. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  29. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  30. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  31. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  33. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  34. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  35. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 76, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs DeSouza), bottomed at 28 (L vs Silva). Current reading: 76.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
34/34 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
12%
2
6%
1
3%
-
-
7
total
SUB
10
29%
2
6%
-
-
-
12
total
DEC
1
3%
-
14
41%
-
-
15
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 34 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
44%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
American Top Team
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVYCAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
34 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Husein KushagovJan 26, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACA 91 - Grozny
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Aslambek SaidovFeb 23, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ACB 81 - Dubai
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ryan LaFlareFeb 11, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 208 - Holm vs. De Randamie
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kenny RobertsonSep 17, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 94 - Poirier vs. Johnson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Derek BrunsonFeb 21, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 2:38
UFC Fight Night 83 - Cerrone vs. Oliveira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Mark MunozFeb 28, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 1:40
UFC 184 - Rousey vs. Zingano
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Randall WallaceOct 3, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 3:29
BattleGrounds MMA 5 - O.N.E.: One Night Elimination
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Straight Armbar)
W
VS Trey HoustonOct 3, 2014
KO/TKOR2 · 2:11
BattleGrounds MMA 5 - O.N.E.: One Night Elimination
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Brock LarsonOct 3, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BattleGrounds MMA 5 - O.N.E.: One Night Elimination
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Sean HuffmanOct 18, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 1:59
NFC 60 - Wild Bill's Fight Night 60
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Jung Hwan ChaMar 24, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 4:08
Road FC 7 - Recharged
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Tommy DepretMar 19, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 2:36
United Glory - 2010-2011 World Series Semifinals
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 21-13. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Roan Carneiro

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28