// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Roger Carroll
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Roger
Carroll

NICKNAME"The Leprechaun"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-19-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Roger Carroll
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
AGE
44
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
37 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
19
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
49%
18/37 bouts
FINISH RATE
94%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
WLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
BRAWLER

Brawler fighter built around defensive grappling — 94% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
7.62
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
61%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
10.48
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
43%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#100
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1381
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
8th
percentile · average opponent rated 1504 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
5th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.24 per fight)

22 rated fights · opponents rated in 61% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 30, 2019

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
SUB · 17
DEC · 1
0
KO/TKO
0%
17
SUB
94%
1
DEC
6%
// LOSSES (19)
n = 19
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 5
DEC · 9
5
KO/TKO
26%
5
SUB
26%
9
DEC
47%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
94% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 17 fights
94%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
6%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
37 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 17, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING60CHIN72STRIKING100CARDIO59AGGRESSION84SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE29RECOVERY56
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin72
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=37 bouts
Striking100
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio59
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression84
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense29
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (43%)

Recovery56
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=19 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record37 bouts
Striking100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio59 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression84 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense29 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (43%)Not recorded
Recovery56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.19 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2008WAUG 2008WOCT 2008LOCT 2008WNOV 2008LJUN 2009WOCT 2009WOCT 2009LDEC 2009WFEB 2010WFEB 2010LJUN 2010LJUL 2010WSEP 2010WAPR 2011LJUL 2011WSEP 2011LJUL 2012LAUG 2012WJAN 2013WFEB 2013LMAR 2013WJUN 2013LOCT 2013LMAR 2014WAUG 2014WSEP 2014WMAR 2015LMAY 2015LJUL 2015LMAR 2016LOCT 2016LOCT 2017WJAN 2018LFEB 2018WSEP 2018LMAY 2019LAUG 2019// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  5. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 60, SUB R3.
  7. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 70, SUB R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 80, SUB R2.
  9. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 73, SUB R2.
  10. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 83, SUB R2.
  11. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  12. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 76, SUB R2.
  14. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  15. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  16. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 98, SUB R1.
  18. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 91, DEC R3.
  19. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  20. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 91, DEC R3.
  21. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  22. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  23. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  24. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  25. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  26. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  27. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  28. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  29. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  30. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  31. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  32. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  33. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  34. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 69, SUB R2.
  35. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  36. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  37. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R1.
  38. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 55, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Eagans), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 55.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
37/37 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
11%
-
1
3%
-
-
5
total
SUB
12
32%
9
24%
1
3%
-
-
22
total
DEC
-
-
9
24%
-
1
3%
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 4 of 37 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
27%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
37 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Chase GambleAug 24, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 0:44
FLP - Fight Lab 61
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Choke)
L
VS Ivan ErslanMay 30, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 1:37
FFC 37 - Final Fight Championship 37: Scheinson vs. Veseli
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Judd BrownSep 21, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 4:15
Warrior FC 140 - Warrior Fighting Challenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Justin SumterFeb 16, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
864 Fighting Championship - Fight 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Cristian TorresJan 27, 2018
SubmissionR2 · 0:49
864 Fighting Championship - Fight 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kneebar)
L
VS John HowardOct 27, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CES MMA 46 - Howard vs. Carroll
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Steve MontgomeryOct 1, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 2:16
Fight Night 2 - Montgomery vs. Carroll
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Neiman GracieMar 4, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 151 - Warren vs. Caldwell
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Brennan WardJul 17, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 2:06
Bellator 140 - Lima vs. Koreshkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Ryan ThomasMay 9, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Rings of Dreams - Fight Night 16
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Todd ChattelleMar 13, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 2:55
CES MMA 28 - Classic Entertainment and Sports 28
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Eric MoonSep 20, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 2:49
USFFC 20 - Carroll vs. Calhoun
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 18-19. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28