// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Roger Zapata
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Roger
Zapata

NICKNAME"Viva"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
4-2-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Roger Zapata
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
AGE
40
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
6 BOUTS
WIN
4
LOSS
2
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
4/6 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 4-1
WWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with elite knockout power — 75% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.60
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.13
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
36%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
81%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#91
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1488
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
29th
percentile · average opponent rated 1531 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
13th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.18 per fight)

3 rated fights · opponents rated in 50% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 26, 2015 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 3
DEC · 1
3
KO/TKO
75%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (2)
n = 2
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
50%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
75%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
6 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER100TD DEFENSE91GRAPPLING37CHIN68STRIKING46CARDIO71AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT70STR DEFENSE20RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Str Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power100
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=4 wins
TD Defense91
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (81%)

Grappling37
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin68
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=6 bouts
Striking46
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio71
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat70
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (36%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=2 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins4 wins
TD Defense91 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (81%)Not recorded
Grappling37 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record6 bouts
Striking46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat70 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (36%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.2 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2011LJUN 2011WAUG 2012WSEP 2012WJAN 2013WJUN 2013LSEP 2015// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 38, DEC R3.
  3. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 75, DEC R3.
  7. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R3.

Peaked at 75 (W vs Moraza-Pollard), bottomed at 38 (L vs Wade). Current reading: 68.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
6/6 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
33%
1
17%
1
17%
-
-
4
total
SUB
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
DEC
-
-
2
33%
-
-
2
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 6 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
33%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
6 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Shinsho AnzaiSep 26, 2015
KO/TKOR3 · 0:47
UFC Fight Night 75 - Barnett vs. Nelson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Hand Injury)
W
VS Chip Moraza-PollardJun 8, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Reality Fighting - Mohegan Sun
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jason WardJan 5, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 3:50
Reality Fighting - New Year's Bash
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Erik SommerSep 22, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 2:30
Reality Fighting - Naples vs. Lee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Josh MellenAug 24, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 1:28
WNXFA - Warrior Nation XFA 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
L
VS Mike WadeJun 10, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CFFC 9 - Beach Brawl
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 4-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Roger Zapata

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Roger ZapataUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28