// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Ryan Bader
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Ryan
Bader

NICKNAME"Darth"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
31-8-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Ryan Bader
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'2"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
43
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
40 BOUTS
WIN
31
LOSS
8
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
79%
31/40 bouts
FINISH RATE
52%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
LWWWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 48% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
2.82
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
43%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.39
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
71%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.37
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
44%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
80%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#1
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1732
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
99th
percentile · average opponent rated 1649 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
46th
percentile · matched what opponents' ratings predicted (0.00 per fight)

34 rated fights · opponents rated in 87% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 24, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (31)
n = 31
KO/TKO · 13
SUB · 3
DEC · 15
13
KO/TKO
42%
3
SUB
10%
15
DEC
48%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 2
6
KO/TKO
75%
2
SUB
25%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
52% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 13 fights
42%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
10%
DECFULL FIGHT · 15 fights
48%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
40 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER60TD DEFENSE89GRAPPLING60CHIN70STRIKING36CARDIO73AGGRESSION40SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE91RECOVERY86
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Str Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power60
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=31 wins
TD Defense89
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (80%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin70
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=39 bouts
Striking36
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio73
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression40
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense91
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (71%)

Recovery86
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins31 wins
TD Defense89 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (80%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record39 bouts
Striking36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense91 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (71%)Not recorded
Recovery86 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2007WMAR 2007WMAY 2007WJUN 2007WSEP 2007WOCT 2007WDEC 2007WAPR 2008WDEC 2008WAPR 2009WOCT 2009WFEB 2010WSEP 2010LFEB 2011LJUL 2011WNOV 2011WFEB 2012LAUG 2012WJAN 2013LSEP 2013WDEC 2013WJUN 2014WAUG 2014WJAN 2015WOCT 2015LJAN 2016WSEP 2016WNOV 2016WJUN 2017WNOV 2017WMAY 2018WOCT 2018WJAN 2019SEP 2019LAUG 2020WAPR 2021LOCT 2021WJAN 2022WMAY 2022WFEB 2023LFEB 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  13. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  15. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  16. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  19. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  22. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  24. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  25. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  29. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  30. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  31. Start, MAY 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  33. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  34. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 100.
  35. Start, AUG 2020, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  36. Start, APR 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  37. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  38. Start, JAN 2022, momentum score 97, DEC R5.
  39. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  40. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  41. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Peterson), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 90.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
39/40 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
12
31%
5
13%
2
5%
-
-
19
total
SUB
4
10%
1
3%
-
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
10
26%
-
5
13%
15
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 17 of 39 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
38%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
40 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Renan FerreiraFeb 24, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 0:21
PFL Super Fights - PFL vs. Bellator Champs
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 2:30
Bellator 290 - Bader vs. Fedor 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Cheick KongoMay 6, 2022
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Bellator 280 - Bader vs. Kongo 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Valentin MoldavskyJan 29, 2022
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Bellator 273 - Bader vs. Moldavsky
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Corey AndersonOct 16, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 0:51
Bellator 268 - Nemkov vs. Anglickas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Lyoto MachidaApr 9, 2021
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Bellator 256 - Bader vs. Machida 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Vadim NemkovAug 21, 2020
KO/TKOR2 · 3:02
Bellator 244 - Bader vs. Nemkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
D
VS Cheick KongoSep 7, 2019
No ContestR1 · 3:52
Bellator 226 - Bader vs. Kongo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Accidental Eye Poke)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 0:35
Bellator 214 - Fedor vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Matt MitrioneOct 12, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 207 - Mitrione vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Muhammed LawalMay 12, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 0:15
Bellator 199 - Bader vs. King Mo
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Linton VassellNov 3, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 3:58
Bellator 186 - Bader vs. Vassell
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 31-8 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28