// Roster Index›Bantamweight›Dossier · Ryan Lilley
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNBANTAMWEIGHT

Ryan
Lilley

NICKNAME"The Lion"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
13-14-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Ryan Lilley
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
5'6"
AGE
36
WEIGHT
Bantamweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
28 BOUTS
WIN
13
LOSS
14
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
48%
13/28 bouts
FINISH RATE
92%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 1-4
LLLLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 62% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.10
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.76
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
52%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
60%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 103 rated fighters on the UFC bantamweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#100
against the 103 rated on the UFC bantamweight roster · Elo 1471
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1488 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
42nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.01 per fight)

18 rated fights · opponents rated in 64% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 21, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (13)
n = 13
KO/TKO · 8
SUB · 5
DEC · 1
8
KO/TKO
62%
5
SUB
38%
1
DEC
8%
// LOSSES (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 5
DEC · 5
4
KO/TKO
29%
5
SUB
36%
5
DEC
36%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
92% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 8 fights
62%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
38%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
8%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
30 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 17, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER77TD DEFENSE44GRAPPLING60CHIN70STRIKING49CARDIO56AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE49RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: KO Power. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power77
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=13 wins
TD Defense44
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (60%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin70
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=27 bouts
Striking49
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio56
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (52%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=14 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins13 wins
TD Defense44 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin70 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record27 bouts
Striking49 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.14 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100APR 2016WAPR 2016WJUL 2016LAUG 2016WSEP 2016WDEC 2016WFEB 2017LMAY 2017WMAY 2017LNOV 2017WDEC 2017WAPR 2018WAPR 2018WJUL 2018LSEP 2018WJAN 2019LAUG 2019LNOV 2019LJAN 2021WDEC 2021LMAY 2022LOCT 2022WJAN 2023LJUL 2023JUL 2024JUL 2024LDEC 2024LFEB 2025LMAY 2025LJAN 2026WMAR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 58, DEC R3.
  5. Start, SEP 2016, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  6. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  7. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  8. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 88, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 91, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  16. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, NOV 2019, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R3.
  19. Start, JAN 2021, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, DEC 2021, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 78, DEC R3.
  22. Start, OCT 2022, momentum score 71, DEC R3.
  23. Start, JAN 2023, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  24. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 74, SUB R2.
  25. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 74.
  26. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 74.
  27. Start, DEC 2024, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R1.
  28. Start, FEB 2025, momentum score 57, SUB R2.
  29. Start, MAY 2025, momentum score 50, SUB R3.
  30. Start, JAN 2026, momentum score 43, SUB R1.
  31. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Cruz), bottomed at 43 (L vs Sahakyan). Current reading: 54.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
28/30 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
9
32%
1
4%
2
7%
-
-
12
total
SUB
6
21%
3
11%
1
4%
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
-
6
21%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 28 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
20%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
30 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Rob GoochMar 21, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 3:05
UNF 32 - Up Next Fighting 32
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
L
VS Zhora SahakyanJan 31, 2026
SubmissionR1 · 3:08
UNF 30 - Up Next Fighting 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Joe MurphyMay 31, 2025
SubmissionR3 · 0:55
UNF 25 - Up Next Fighting 25
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Luciano RamosFeb 7, 2025
SubmissionR2 · 3:04
LXF 22 - Lights Out Xtreme Fighting 22
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
L
VS Damon WilsonDec 13, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 3:35
CW 182 - Cage Warriors 182: San Diego
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knees)
D
VS Anthony Romero 0Jul 6, 2024
No ContestR1 · 2:18
UNF 19 - Up Next Fighting 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Accidental Groin Kick)
D
VS Anthony RomeroJul 6, 2024
No ContestR1 · 2:18
UNF 19 - Up Next Fighting 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Accidental Groin Kick)
L
VS Jesse StraderJul 1, 2023
SubmissionR2 · 1:44
UNF 9 - Up Next Fighting 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Matt DenningJan 14, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 2:41
LXF 8 - Lights Out Xtreme Fighting 8: The Return
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
L
VS Weber AlmeidaOct 1, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 286 - Pitbull vs. Borics
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Albert MoralesMay 21, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UNF 1 - Up Next Fighting 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Tim RiscenDec 10, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 0:13
LXF 7 - Lights Out Xtreme Fighting 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Bantamweight. Professional record 13-14 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Ryan Lilley

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Ryan LilleyUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28