// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Sage Northcutt
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Sage
Northcutt

NICKNAME"Super"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
12-3-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Team Alpha Male
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Sage Northcutt
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'0"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
30
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
15 BOUTS
WIN
12
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
80%
12/15 bouts
FINISH RATE
75%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-1
WWWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 42% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.58
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.96
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.81
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
34%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
41%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#47
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1569
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
25th
percentile · average opponent rated 1526 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
82nd
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.28 per fight)

11 rated fights · opponents rated in 73% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 5, 2023

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 4
DEC · 3
5
KO/TKO
42%
4
SUB
33%
3
DEC
25%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
2
SUB
67%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
75% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
42%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
25%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
15 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER60TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN80STRIKING57CARDIO58AGGRESSION36SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE62RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power60
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=12 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (41%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin80
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=15 bouts
Striking57
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio58
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=15 bouts
Aggression36
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (58%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins12 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (41%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record15 bouts
Striking57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share15 bouts
Aggression36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2014WNOV 2014WAPR 2015WMAY 2015WJUN 2015WAUG 2015WOCT 2015WDEC 2015LJAN 2016WJUL 2016LDEC 2016WNOV 2017WFEB 2018WJUL 2018LMAY 2019WMAY 2023// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 96, SUB R2.
  7. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  9. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  10. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  12. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Trevino), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
15/15 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
33%
1
7%
-
-
-
6
total
SUB
2
13%
4
27%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
3
20%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 15 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
20%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Team Alpha Male
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
15 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Ahmed MujtabaMay 5, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 0:39
One Championship - One on Prime Video 10: Johnson vs. Moraes 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Heel Hook)
L
VS Cosmo AlexandreMay 17, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 0:29
One Championship - Enter the Dragon
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Zak OttowJul 14, 2018
KO/TKOR2 · 3:13
UFC Fight Night 133 - Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Thibault GoutiFeb 18, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 126 - Cerrone vs. Medeiros
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Michel QuinonesNov 11, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 120 - Poirier vs. Pettis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mickey GallDec 17, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 1:40
UFC on Fox 22 - VanZant vs. Waterson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Enrique MarinJul 9, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 200 - Tate vs. Nunes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Bryan BarberenaJan 30, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 3:06
UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Cody PfisterDec 10, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 0:41
UFC Fight Night 80 - Namajunas vs. VanZant
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Francisco TrevinoOct 3, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 0:57
UFC 192 - Cormier vs. Gustafsson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Rocky LongAug 28, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 3:30
LFC 44 - Legacy Fighting Championship 44
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Neck Crank)
W
VS Gage DuhonJun 26, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 4:26
LFC 42 - Legacy Fighting Championship 42
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 12-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Sage Northcutt

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Sage NorthcuttUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27