// Roster Index›Light Heavyweight›Dossier · Sam Hoger
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT

Sam
Hoger

NICKNAME"The Alaskan Assassin"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
10-4-0
CURRENT FORM
4W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Sam Hoger
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'2"
AGE
46
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Light Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
14 BOUTS
WIN
10
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
71%
10/14 bouts
FINISH RATE
90%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS4W STREAK · 4-1
LWWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 60% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.07
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
25%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 49%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.25
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.75
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
57%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.12
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
38%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
29%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 56 rated fighters on the UFC light heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#45
against the 56 rated on the UFC light heavyweight roster · Elo 1495
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
30th
percentile · average opponent rated 1515 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
14th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.17 per fight)

8 rated fights · opponents rated in 80% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 7, 2007

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (10)
n = 10
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 6
DEC · 1
3
KO/TKO
30%
6
SUB
60%
1
DEC
10%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
SUB · 1
DEC · 3
0
KO/TKO
0%
1
SUB
25%
3
DEC
75%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
90% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
30%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
60%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
10%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
14 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER43TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING20CARDIO77AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT65STR DEFENSE60RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power43
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=10 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (29%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=14 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio77
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat65
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (57%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins10 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (29%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record14 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat65 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (57%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2003WJUN 2003WSEP 2003WOCT 2003WAPR 2004WAPR 2005LAUG 2005WNOV 2005LAPR 2006LFEB 2007LAPR 2007WSEP 2008WJAN 2009WAPR 2010WJUN 2010// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2003, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2003, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2003, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, OCT 2003, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, APR 2004, momentum score 85, SUB R1.
  6. Start, APR 2005, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 85, DEC R3.
  8. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 95, SUB R2.
  9. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 88, DEC R3.
  10. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  11. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 74, SUB R2.
  12. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 84, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 94, SUB R3.
  14. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Miller), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
14/14 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
21%
-
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
4
29%
2
14%
1
7%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
4
29%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 14 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
29%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
14 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Jody PoffJun 5, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 0:50
FNMMA - Fight Night MMA
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission
W
VS Patrick MillerApr 9, 2010
KO/TKOR1 · 0:27
WG - Worldwide Gladiator
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Johnathan IveyJan 24, 2009
SubmissionR3 · 0:35
URC 3 - Urban Rumble Championships 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
W
VS Jason DolloffSep 19, 2008
KO/TKOR1 · 0:17
WCF - World Championship Fighting 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Vernon WhiteApr 7, 2007
SubmissionR2 · 3:25
IFL - Moline
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Lyoto MachidaFeb 3, 2007
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 67 - All or Nothing
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Rashad EvansApr 6, 2006
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 4 - Bonnar vs. Jardine
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Jeff NewtonNov 19, 2005
SubmissionR2 · 2:05
UFC 56 - Full Force
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 1 - Marquardt vs. Salaverry
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 1 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Chris HerringApr 30, 2004
SubmissionR1 · 2:37
MMA - Eruption
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
SubmissionR1 · 1:29
EC 54 - Extreme Challenge 54
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Light Heavyweight. Professional record 10-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28