// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Saul Rogers
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Saul
Rogers

NICKNAME"Tha Hangman"·ENGLAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-5-0
CURRENT FORM
— STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Saul Rogers
FIGHTER -
ENG🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'5"
REACH
6'9"
AGE
45
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
21 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
75%
15/21 bouts
FINISH RATE
67%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS— STREAK · 2-2
WLWL-
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 60% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.17
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
44%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.20
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
58%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#70
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1530
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
45th
percentile · average opponent rated 1541 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
36th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.04 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 50% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 29, 2022

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 9
DEC · 5
1
KO/TKO
7%
9
SUB
60%
5
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
SUB · 3
DEC · 2
0
KO/TKO
0%
3
SUB
60%
2
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
67% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
7%
SUBANY ROUND · 9 fights
60%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
21 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 19, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE40GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING42CARDIO63AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE36RECOVERY80
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (58%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=20 bouts
Striking42
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio63
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense36
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (46%)

Recovery80
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record20 bouts
Striking42 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense36 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (46%)Not recorded
Recovery80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2011WMAY 2011WSEP 2011WNOV 2011WJUN 2012WAUG 2012WOCT 2012LDEC 2012WJUL 2013WMAR 2014WNOV 2014WMAY 2015WAUG 2016WOCT 2016LMAR 2017WMAY 2019LSEP 2019WOCT 2020LAPR 2021WSEP 2021LOCT 2022MAY 2023// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  5. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 91, SUB R1.
  7. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  9. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  16. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, OCT 2020, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, APR 2021, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  20. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, OCT 2022, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  22. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 93.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Chapman), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
20/21 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
5%
-
-
-
-
1
total
SUB
9
45%
2
10%
1
5%
-
-
12
total
DEC
-
-
7
35%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 20 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
33%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
21 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

D
VS Davy GallonMay 12, 2023
No ContestR1 · 2:12
Bellator 296 - Mousasi vs. Edwards
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Overturned)
L
VS Tim WildeOct 29, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 287 - Piccolotti vs. Barnaoui
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Georgi KarakhanyanSep 18, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 266 - Romero vs. Davis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mads BurnellApr 16, 2021
SubmissionR2 · 4:08
Bellator 257 - Nemkov vs. Davis 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Arbi MezhidovOct 10, 2020
SubmissionR1 · 4:38
Bellator 248 - Kongo vs. Johnson 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Daniel WeichelSep 28, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 228 - Pitbull vs. Archuleta
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Aiden LeeMay 4, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator Birmingham - Primus vs. Wilde
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Aurel PirteaMar 11, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 0:53
ACB 54 - Manchester: Supersonic
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Michell AdelinaOct 1, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 2:33
ACB 47 - Braveheart: Young Eagles 14
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Andre WinnerAug 13, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 0:54
TFC - Tanko Fighting Championships 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
W
VS Nozomi MineMay 2, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 1:50
RFC - Real Fight Championship 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Mick SinclairNov 15, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CWFC 74 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 74
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-5 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28