// Roster Index›Heavyweight›Dossier · Serghei Spivac
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNRANKED #14STOCK -8HEAVYWEIGHT

Serghei
Spivac

NICKNAME"Polar Bear"·MOLDOVA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Polar Bear Team
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Serghei Spivac
FIGHTER 014
MOL🇲🇩
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
6'3"
REACH
6'6"
AGE
31
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Heavyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
25 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
72%
18/25 bouts
FINISH RATE
83%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
WLLWL
Form trend -8 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.57
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.60
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
48%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.23
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Defense
Reference value 50%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
3.82
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 0.72
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
59%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 30%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
64%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 50%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.48
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.00
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 63 other rated fighters on the UFC heavyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#19
of 64 on the UFC heavyweight roster · Elo 1584
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
90th
percentile · average opponent rated 1611 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
33rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.01 per fight)

19 rated fights · opponents rated in 76% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 22, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 8
DEC · 3
7
KO/TKO
39%
8
SUB
44%
3
DEC
17%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 4
DEC · 3
4
KO/TKO
57%
0
SUB
0%
3
DEC
43%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
83% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
39%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
44%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
17%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
25 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER56TD DEFENSE53GRAPPLING63CHIN69STRIKING51CARDIO59AGGRESSION58SUB THREAT24STR DEFENSE49RECOVERY83
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power56
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (64%)

Grappling63
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin69
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=25 bouts
Striking51
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio59
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression58
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat24
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.48 per 15 min)

Str Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (52%)

Recovery83
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (64%)Not recorded
Grappling63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record25 bouts
Striking51 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio59 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat24 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.48 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Recovery83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2014WSEP 2014WNOV 2014WJAN 2015WOCT 2015WFEB 2016WMAR 2017WJUN 2017WMAR 2018WSEP 2018LMAY 2019WOCT 2019LFEB 2020WJUL 2020WFEB 2021WJUN 2021LSEP 2021WMAR 2022WAUG 2022WFEB 2023LSEP 2023WAUG 2024LJAN 2025LJUN 2025WFEB 2026LAUG 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 85, SUB R2.
  6. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 95, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAR 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  13. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JUL 2020, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  20. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  21. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, AUG 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  23. Start, JAN 2025, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, JUN 2025, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  25. Start, FEB 2026, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  26. Start, AUG 2026, momentum score 83, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Morton), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 83.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
25/25 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
32%
3
12%
-
-
-
11
total
SUB
6
24%
2
8%
-
-
-
8
total
DEC
-
-
6
24%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 25 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
24%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Polar Bear Team
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
WRESTLING-HEAVY

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
25 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Vitor PetrinoAug 22, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 285 - Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ante DelijaFeb 21, 2026
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 267 - Strickland vs. Hernandez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 316 - Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jailton AlmeidaJan 18, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 4:53
UFC 311 - Makhachev vs. Moicano
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Marcin TyburaAug 10, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 1:44
UFC on ESPN 61 - Tybura vs. Spivac 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Ciryl GaneSep 2, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 3:44
UFC Fight Night 226 - Gane vs. Spivak
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Derrick LewisFeb 4, 2023
SubmissionR1 · 3:05
UFC Fight Night 218 - Lewis vs. Spivak
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Augusto SakaiAug 6, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 3:42
UFC on ESPN 40 - Santos vs. Hill
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Greg HardyMar 5, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 2:16
UFC 272 - Covington vs. Masvidal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Tom AspinallSep 4, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 2:30
UFC Fight Night 191 - Brunson vs. Till
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbow and Punches)
W
VS Alexey OleynikJun 19, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 25 - Korean Zombie vs. Ige
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jared VanderaaFeb 20, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 4:32
UFC Fight Night 185 - Blaydes vs. Lewis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Heavyweight. Professional record 18-7. Ranked #14 by the UFC.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28