// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Shad Smith
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Shad
Smith

NICKNAME"The American Badass"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-27-2
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Shad Smith
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'2"
AGE
64
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
44 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
27
DRAW
2
WIN RATE
34%
15/44 bouts
FINISH RATE
93%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
WLLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 47% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
0.41
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
0.47
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
60%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.89
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
50%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
20%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.90
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#112
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1374
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1488 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
19th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.17 per fight)

26 rated fights · opponents rated in 59% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 2, 2021

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 7
DEC · 1
7
KO/TKO
47%
7
SUB
47%
1
DEC
7%
// LOSSES (27)
n = 27
KO/TKO · 16
SUB · 3
DEC · 8
16
KO/TKO
59%
3
SUB
11%
8
DEC
30%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
93% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
47%
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
47%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
7%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
44 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 19, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER67TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN44STRIKING35CARDIO81AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT45STR DEFENSE67RECOVERY31
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power67
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (20%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin44
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=44 bouts
Striking35
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio81
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat45
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)

Str Defense67
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (60%)

Recovery31
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=27 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (20%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin44 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record44 bouts
Striking35 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat45 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.9 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense67 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (60%)Not recorded
Recovery31 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.27 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JAN 2000WJAN 2000WMAR 2000LAPR 2000LJUN 2000WOCT 2002WDEC 2002WJUN 2003WDEC 2003LFEB 2004LJUN 2005WMAY 2006JUN 2006LAUG 2006LNOV 2006WDEC 2006WMAR 2007LMAR 2007AUG 2007LOCT 2007LJAN 2008LMAY 2008WSEP 2009WFEB 2010LMAR 2010LMAY 2010LAUG 2010LJUN 2011WFEB 2012LMAR 2012LOCT 2012LMAR 2013LMAY 2013LJUL 2013LAUG 2013LSEP 2013WAPR 2017LSEP 2017LNOV 2017LSEP 2018WOCT 2018LJUN 2019LSEP 2019WFEB 2020LOCT 2021// SCORE

  1. Start, JAN 2000, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JAN 2000, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAR 2000, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, APR 2000, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUN 2000, momentum score 46, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, OCT 2002, momentum score 57, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, DEC 2002, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, JUN 2003, momentum score 78, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 85, DEC R2.
  10. Start, FEB 2004, momentum score 75, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 75, SUB R3.
  13. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 75.
  14. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 68, DEC R2.
  15. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 61, DEC R3.
  16. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 81, SUB R3.
  18. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 72.
  20. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 55, DEC R3.
  22. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 45, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  25. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R3.
  26. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 39, KO/TKO R1.
  28. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 32, DEC R3.
  29. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 42, SUB R1.
  30. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 35, SUB R1.
  31. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 28, DEC R3.
  32. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 21, DEC R3.
  33. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 11, KO/TKO R1.
  34. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 4, SUB R2.
  35. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 0, DEC R3.
  36. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 0, SUB R1.
  37. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 10, SUB R2.
  38. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 3, DEC R3.
  39. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 0, KO/TKO R1.
  40. Start, SEP 2018, momentum score 0, KO/TKO R1.
  41. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 10, SUB R1.
  42. Start, JUN 2019, momentum score 0, KO/TKO R1.
  43. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 0, KO/TKO R2.
  44. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 10, SUB R2.
  45. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 0, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 85 (W vs Valenzuela), bottomed at 0 (L vs Lahat). Current reading: 0.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
42/44 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
21
50%
1
2%
1
2%
-
-
23
total
SUB
5
12%
3
7%
2
5%
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
2
5%
7
17%
-
-
9
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 22 of 42 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
20%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
44 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Victor RosasOct 2, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 2:00
Gladiator Challenge - Underground 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Chris HansenFeb 29, 2020
SubmissionR2 · 2:22
CCW - California Cage Wars 18
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Raihere DudesSep 7, 2019
KO/TKOR2 · 2:54
CCW - California Cage Wars 15: Regulators
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Josh HinkleJun 22, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 0:05
PureCombat - Warrior Spirit
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Aaron HedrickOct 6, 2018
SubmissionR1 · 0:23
KOTC - Terminal Velocity
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Joseph WilliamsSep 16, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 0:29
CCW - California Cage Wars 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Karolis BuslysNov 4, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 1:56
King of the Cage Lithuania - Baltic Tour 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO
L
VS Robbie PeraltaSep 3, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CCW - California Cage Wars: Peralta vs. Smith
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Karolis BuslysApr 8, 2017
SubmissionR2 · 2:26
King of the Cage Lithuania - Baltic Tour
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Emilio ChavezSep 7, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 3:31
BAMMA USA - Pro Series 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Noad LahatAug 9, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BAMMA USA - Badbeat 10
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Chris SaundersJul 13, 2013
SubmissionR2 · 1:10
RITC - Respect in the Cage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-27-2. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28