// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Shamar Bailey
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Shamar
Bailey

NICKNAME"The Watchman"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-11-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Shamar Bailey
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
6'3"
AGE
44
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
27 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
59%
16/27 bouts
FINISH RATE
53%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
WLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.56
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
20%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.91
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
69%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
37%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#99
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1461
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
3rd
percentile · average opponent rated 1488 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
8th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.21 per fight)

16 rated fights · opponents rated in 59% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 4, 2014

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 3
DEC · 7
5
KO/TKO
31%
3
SUB
19%
7
DEC
44%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 1
DEC · 4
6
KO/TKO
55%
1
SUB
9%
4
DEC
36%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
53% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
31%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
19%
DECFULL FIGHT · 7 fights
44%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
27 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER45TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN61STRIKING20CARDIO76AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE87RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Str Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power45
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (37%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin61
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=27 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio76
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense87
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (69%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=11 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (37%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record27 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense87 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (69%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.11 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2006WAUG 2006WOCT 2006WDEC 2006WJAN 2007WAUG 2007WDEC 2007WFEB 2008LAPR 2008WDEC 2008WJUN 2009WAUG 2009WNOV 2009LMAR 2010LSEP 2010WJUN 2011LSEP 2011LNOV 2011WJAN 2012LMAR 2012LMAY 2012LAUG 2012WSEP 2012WDEC 2012LAPR 2013WJUN 2013LFEB 2014LOCT 2014// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 74, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, JAN 2007, momentum score 85, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  7. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 99, DEC R3.
  8. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 100.
  9. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  13. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  15. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  18. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, JAN 2012, momentum score 83, SUB R3.
  20. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  21. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, AUG 2012, momentum score 59, SUB R2.
  23. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R2.
  24. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  25. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 73, DEC R3.
  27. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 66, DEC R3.
  28. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Miranda), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 56.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
26/27 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
31%
3
12%
-
-
-
11
total
SUB
2
8%
1
4%
1
4%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
-
11
42%
-
-
11
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 26 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
41%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
27 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Mark StoddardOct 4, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 1:44
PC MMA - Pinnacle Combat 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Kevin NowaczykFeb 8, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
HFC 19 - Hoosier Fight Club 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jordin HinmanJun 22, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
APFC 11 - Champion vs. Champion
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Luis SantosApr 19, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 1:02
XFC 23 - Louisville Slugfest
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Gideon RayDec 15, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Flawless FC 2 - Hated
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS David OverfieldSep 29, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 0:18
CC - Colosseum Combat 22
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Joshua WilliamsAug 24, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 2:25
Warfare 6 - Friday Night Fights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Lucas Pimenta BorgesMay 4, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 2:30
UWF - Tournament of Warriors Round 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Josh ShockleyMar 9, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 60
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Darrell SmithJan 7, 2012
SubmissionR3 · 3:53
CC - Colosseum Combat 19
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
L
VS Danny CastilloNov 19, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 4:52
UFC 139 - Shogun vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Evan DunhamSep 17, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 25 - Shields vs. Ellenberger
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 16-11. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Shamar Bailey

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28